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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
19.09.2026 19:30
Referee: G. Haflidason Oddur
KA Akureyri
Match Timeline
Thor Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
J. Pedersen
KA Akureyri
🟨
24'
K. Vazquez
Thor Akureyri
🟨
37'
H. Gudmundsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
45+1'
Y. Affi
Thor Akureyri
🔄
46'
J. Pedersen ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
52'
C. Jakobsen
Thor Akureyri
🟨
54'
K. Kristjansson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
59'
T. Ingolfsson ↔ B. Brynjolfsson
Thor Akureyri
⚽
66'
J. Arnason · Assist: H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
⚽
72'
B. Baldvinsson · Assist: H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
74'
H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
77'
J. Arnason
KA Akureyri
🔄
80'
K. Vazquez ↔ P. Helgason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
80'
K. Kristjansson ↔ R. Ragnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
80'
A. Hlynsson ↔ F. Gislason
Thor Akureyri
⚽
83'
A. Palsson · Assist: G. Hrafnkelsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
84'
C. Jakobsen ↔ A. Magnusson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
85'
B. Baldvinsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
86'
B. Brynjolfsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
87'
A. Palsson ↔ B. Helgason
KA Akureyri
🔄
87'
M. Thordarson ↔ S. Kristinsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
89'
G. Hrafnkelsson ↔ K. Gautason
KA Akureyri
🔄
89'
H. Steingrimsson ↔ D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🟨
90+2'
E. Halldorsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
90+4'
D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🟨
90+4'
V. Ottosson
Thor Akureyri

KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
1.86 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.42 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
KA Akureyri Win 57.6%
Draw 15.2%
Thor Akureyri Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KA Akureyri1.86
Thor Akureyri1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WWDLW
37 GF / 52 GA
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WLDWL
26 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.08
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
16
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 24 matches
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 24 matches
KA Akureyri Statistic Thor Akureyri
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
13 Losses 14
37 Goals For 26
52 Goals Against 56
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
16 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Thor Akureyri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Thor Akureyri arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thor Akureyri having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri sit 11 with 20 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 35:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri sit 10 with 21 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 22:50, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KA Akureyri won 4 times, Thor Akureyri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from KA Akureyri's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: KA Akureyri - / Thor Akureyri 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: KA Akureyri wins 4, draws 1, Thor Akureyri wins 0

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs