Login Register
BRAZIL › SERIE B
23.05.2026 23:30
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
Juventude
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
55'
Biel Fonseca
Sport Recife
🔄
66'
MP ↔ Allanzinho
Juventude
🔄
71'
Clayson ↔ Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
71'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Pedro Martins
Sport Recife
🔄
71'
Madson ↔ Augusto
Sport Recife
🔄
75'
Alan Kardec ↔ Alisson Safira
Juventude
🔄
76'
Fabio Lima ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🟨
79'
Messias
Juventude
⚽
82'
Iury Castilho · Assist: Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
🔄
83'
Diogo Barbosa ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
83'
Nathan Santos ↔ Aderlan
Juventude
🟨
87'
Perotti
Sport Recife
🟨
90+6'
Zé Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
90+1'
Felipinho
Sport Recife
🔄
90'
Yago Felipe ↔ Ze Gabriel
Sport Recife
🔄
90+4'
Chrystian Barletta ↔ Edson Lucas
Sport Recife

Juventude vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 37.3%
Draw 11.8%
Sport Recife Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude0.71
Sport Recife1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
12 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
2
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
4
3.89
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 9 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 9 matches
Juventude Statistic Sport Recife
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
6 Goals For 12
5 Goals Against 7
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
2 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
1 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3.89 Shots On Goal 4.33
10.56 Total Shots 12.78
3.44 Corners 4.56
52.1% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sport Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude are currently 10 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Alan Kardec (2 goals), Allanzinho (1 goals), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 9 matches. The return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro Perotti (5 goals), Chrystian Barletta (4 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 3 times, Sport Recife won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Juventude's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 3, draws 1, Sport Recife wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 34 14 7 13 34:40 -6 49
D W W L L
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 39:42 -3 43
D L L D W
16 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation