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ITALY › SERIE B
18.04.2026 17:30
Stadio Romeo Menti
Referee: N. Turrini
Juve Stabia
Match Timeline
Catanzaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
N. Mosti · Assist: A. Gabrielloni
Juve Stabia
🟨
61'
Emanuele Torrasi
Juve Stabia
🔄
63'
E. Torrasi ↔ G. Leone
Juve Stabia
🔄
63'
A. Gabrielloni ↔ A. Okoro
Juve Stabia
🔄
72'
S. Diakite ↔ M. Varnier
Juve Stabia
🔄
79'
M. Liberali ↔ R. Oudin
Catanzaro
🔄
79'
R. Frosinini ↔ P. Nuamah
Catanzaro
🟨
83'
Tommaso Cassandro
Catanzaro
🔄
84'
M. Pompetti ↔ D. Buglio
Catanzaro
🔄
84'
G. Alesi ↔ N. Koffi
Catanzaro
🔄
85'
A. Cacciamani ↔ F. Maistro
Juve Stabia
🔄
85'
C. Pierobon ↔ M. Ricciardi
Juve Stabia
⚽
88'
F. Di Francesco
Catanzaro
🔄
90+1'
Matias Antonini ↔ E. Bashi
Catanzaro

Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juve Stabia Win 39.7%
Draw 19.5%
Catanzaro Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juve Stabia1.19
Catanzaro1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
WWDLW
41 GF / 43 GA
Catanzaro Catanzaro
WLDWL
53 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
18
BTTS Yes
22
16
Over 2.5
18
3.97
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 35 matches
Catanzaro Catanzaro 35 matches
Juve Stabia Statistic Catanzaro
11 Wins 14
15 Draws 13
9 Losses 8
41 Goals For 53
43 Goals Against 43
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
18 BTTS Yes 22
26 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
3.97 Shots On Goal 4.17
12.11 Total Shots 12.66
5.03 Corners 3.94
53% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Catanzaro's more proactive style and Juve Stabia's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Catanzaro. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juve Stabia expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Catanzaro in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Catanzaro having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Juve Stabia Analysis

So far, Juve Stabia have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 48 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 15 draws, and 8 losses, while the 41:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Candellone (7 goals), L. Carissoni (6 goals), N. Mosti (6 goals), with creative support from F. Maistro (6 assists), L. Carissoni (2 assists), N. Mosti (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Catanzaro Analysis

Placed 5 with 55 points from 34 outings, Catanzaro continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 7 losses, while the 51:40 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Iemmello (10 goals), Filippo Pittarello (8 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (9 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Juve Stabia won 2 times, Catanzaro won 3 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Juve Stabia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
Predicted formations: Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1 / Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Juve Stabia wins 2, draws 10, Catanzaro wins 3

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation