PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Referee: L. Ciriaco
Juan Pablo II College
Match Timeline
Comerciantes Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
I. Iriarte · Assist: M. Alaniz
Juan Pablo II College
21'
E. M. Perez Azambuya · Assist: A. Cossio
Comerciantes Unidos
31'
C. Tizon · Assist: E. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
32'
Juan Rodríguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
38'
Jorge Toledo
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
61'
F. Agurto ↔ M. Peralta
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
62'
F. Alcedo ↔ W. Ayovi
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
68'
F. Rojas ↔ J. Parodi
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
74'
E. M. Perez Azambuya ↔ J. Olivares
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
74'
A. Rodriguez ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
80'
M. Juambeltz ↔ H. Bazan
Juan Pablo II College
84'
T. Salinas · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
86'
J. Duran ↔ C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
90+8'
Christian Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+6'
M. Alaniz ↔ P. Anton
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+7'
C. Cueva ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+7'
J. Toledo ↔ R. Aliaga
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+7'
R. Vilca ↔ J. Herrera
Comerciantes Unidos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 35.9%
Draw 21.8%
Comerciantes Unidos Win 42.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.53
Comerciantes Unidos1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
18 GF / 24 GA
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.27
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
5
2.8
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 11 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 11 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic Comerciantes Unidos
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
18 Goals For 14
24 Goals Against 15
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
2.8 Shots On Goal 3.89
8.4 Total Shots 10.33
3.1 Corners 3.56
38.5% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Juan Pablo II College have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Comerciantes Unidos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Comerciantes Unidos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 15:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Juambeltz (3 goals), P. Fuentes (3 goals), M. Alaniz (2 goals), with creative support from M. Alaniz (5 assists), C. Cueva (3 assists), M. Juambeltz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Comerciantes Unidos have collected 12 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (4 goals), R. Vilca (2 goals), W. Ayovi (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), Matias Sen (1 assists), J. Herrera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 5-3-2 / Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 0, draws 2, Comerciantes Unidos wins 2
Stats
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 14
1 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
295 Total passes 296
228 Passes accurate 222
1.04 expected_goals 1.11
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juan Pablo II College
Formation
Comerciantes Unidos
M. Vega
M. Vega
J. Toledo
J. Toledo
I. Iriarte
I. Iriarte
A. Sanchez
A. Sanchez
F. Agurto
F. Agurto
E. Ramirez
🎯
E. Ramirez
M. Alaniz
🎯
M. Alaniz
J. Duran
J. Duran
C. Tizon
C. Tizon
M. Juambeltz
M. Juambeltz
C. Cueva
C. Cueva
M. Cordova
M. Cordova
F. Alcedo
F. Alcedo
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
J. Rodriguez
🎯
J. Rodriguez
F. Rojas
F. Rojas
A. Arias
A. Arias
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
R. Vilca
R. Vilca
A. Cossio
🎯
A. Cossio
E. M. Perez Azambuya
E. M. Perez Azambuya
M. Sen
M. Sen
Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2
Starting XI
23
M. Vega
G
31
J. Toledo
↓ 90+7' 🟨 38'
D
24
I. Iriarte
⚽ 19'
D
3
A. Sanchez
D
26
F. Agurto
↓ 61'
D
18
E. Ramirez
🎯 31'
M
50
M. Alaniz
🎯 19' ↓ 90+6'
M
28
J. Duran
↓ 86'
M
29
C. Tizon
⚽ 31'
M
39
M. Juambeltz
↓ 80'
F
10
C. Cueva
↓ 90+7'
F
Substitutes
12
I. Quispe
G
20
H. Bazan
↑ 80'
16
P. Anton
↑ 90+6'
D
22
M. Peralta
↑ 61'
D
7
A. Henricks
↑ 90+7'
F
11
R. Aliaga
↑ 90+7'
M
8
C. Flores
↑ 86' 🟨 90+8'
M
30
J. Canova
D
80
J. Barreto
M
Comerciantes Unidos 3-5-2
Starting XI
17
M. Cordova
G
40
F. Alcedo
↓ 62'
D
30
P. Guzman
D
6
J. Rodriguez
🎯 84' 🟨 32'
D
16
F. Rojas
↓ 68'
M
4
A. Arias
M
18
A. Rodriguez
↓ 74'
M
25
R. Vilca
↓ 90+7'
M
15
A. Cossio
🎯 21'
M
13
E. M. Perez Azambuya
⚽ 21' ↓ 74'
F
9
M. Sen
F
Substitutes
99
J. Charun
7
M. Carranza
M
8
W. Ayovi
↑ 62'
F
50
J. Olivares
↑ 74'
5
C. A. Correa Flores
M
20
J. Parodi
↑ 68'
M
11
J. Herrera
↑ 90+7'
19
D. Lino
D
14
T. Salinas
⚽ 84' ↑ 74'
M
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
30.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
4
L
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H: Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos
27.06.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
0
0
D
18.04.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
24.10.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.06.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
3
0
L
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
H2H at home: Juan Pablo II College
18.04.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
24.10.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
H2H away: Comerciantes Unidos
18.04.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
24.10.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)