Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.1%
|
1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.4%
|
1.85 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.43 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Juan Pablo II College
25 matches
Alianza Lima
28 matches
| Juan Pablo II College | Statistic | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 4 |
| 38 | Goals For | 44 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.68 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 5.42 |
| 9.79 | Total Shots | 15.58 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 4.42 |
| 43.2% | Ball Possession | 56.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Juan Pablo II College's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Alianza Lima. Alianza Lima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 52 points while Juan Pablo II College sit 12 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Alianza Lima in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Lima having the stronger overall control.
So far, Juan Pablo II College have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 27 points from 24 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 35:50 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Ramírez (3 goals), Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), with creative support from E. Ramírez (2 assists), Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 1 with 52 points from 23 outings, Alianza Lima continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 40:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Eryc Castillo (12 goals), Jairo Vélez (3 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (3 assists), Marco Huamán (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, Alianza Lima won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Away
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:31 | 16 | 47 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48:40 | 8 | 44 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 43 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 43:53 | -10 | 35 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|