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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
02.09.2026 10:00
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Referee: Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
JEF United Chiba
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Leo Gaucho · Assist: H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
36'
H. Kida ↔ T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
⚽
41'
K. Tanaka · Assist: T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
🟨
45'
Takumi Tsukui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
K. Kawano ↔ Kamiya Yuta
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
Leo Gaucho ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
K. Yamura ↔ K. Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
T. Tsukui ↔ N. Tsubaki
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
Erison ↔ T. Matsumura
JEF United Chiba
🟨
77'
Koki Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
81'
H. Motoyama ↔ K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
84'
K. Tanaka ↔ T. Yasui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
87'
T. Yamane ↔ N. Browne
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
90+3'
Eiji Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
90'
Kamiya Yuta · Assist: Lucao
Fagiano Okayama

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.90
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
1.90 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.87 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
JEF United Chiba Win 8.8%
Draw 29.8%
Fagiano Okayama Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
JEF United Chiba0.7
Fagiano Okayama1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WWDLW
2 GF / 13 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
3.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 4 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 4 matches
JEF United Chiba Statistic Fagiano Okayama
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
2 Goals For 3
13 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.25
10.25 Total Shots 17.75
1.75 Corners 7
48% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JEF United Chiba won 8 times, Fagiano Okayama won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from JEF United Chiba's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: JEF United Chiba 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: JEF United Chiba wins 8, draws 5, Fagiano Okayama wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 12:5 7 19
W W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 17:12 5 18
W W L L W
3 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
4 8 5 2 1 21:10 11 17
L D W W D
5 8 5 2 1 14:8 6 17
W W W D W
6 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
W D W D L
7 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
8 8 4 1 3 17:16 1 13
D L L L W
9 8 4 1 3 11:10 1 13
L W W W L
10 8 4 0 4 16:18 -2 12
W L W W W
11 8 3 2 3 7:12 -5 11
D L D W L
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 8 1 3 4 8:14 -6 6
L L L D D
17 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
18 8 1 1 6 9:12 -3 4
L L D L L
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League