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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
23.05.2026 15:30
Chorten Arena
Referee: W. Myc
Jagiellonia
Match Timeline
Zaglebie Lubin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Igor Orlikowski
Zaglebie Lubin
⚽
32'
A. Pululu
Jagiellonia
🟨
39'
Guilherme Montóia
Jagiellonia
🔄
46'
M. Grzybek ↔ L. Lucic
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
46'
J. Ligocki ↔ A. Radwanski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
63'
G. Montoia ↔ B. Wdowik
Jagiellonia
🟨
69'
Adam Radwański
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
72'
I. Orlikowski ↔ J. Sypek
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
72'
D. Dabrowski ↔ M. Dziewiatowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
76'
B. Vital ↔ A. Konstantopoulos
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
A. Pozo ↔ M. Nahuel
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
J. Imaz ↔ E. Kozlowski
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
A. Pululu ↔ S. Bazdar
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
J. Corluka ↔ M. Kosidis
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
90+3'
Michał Nalepa
Zaglebie Lubin

Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Jagiellonia Win 47.8%
Draw 18.7%
Zaglebie Lubin Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jagiellonia1.42
Zaglebie Lubin1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
WWDLW
76 GF / 55 GA
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WLDWL
45 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
30
BTTS Yes
16
29
Over 2.5
15
4.85
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 47 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 33 matches
Jagiellonia Statistic Zaglebie Lubin
21 Wins 13
16 Draws 9
10 Losses 11
76 Goals For 45
55 Goals Against 37
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
30 BTTS Yes 16
38 Over 1.5 22
29 Over 2.5 15
14 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 10
4.85 Shots On Goal 3.64
13.13 Total Shots 11.94
4.7 Corners 3.7
51.7% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Zaglebie Lubin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jagiellonia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zaglebie Lubin in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zaglebie Lubin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Zaglebie Lubin.

Jagiellonia Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 53 points from 33 games, Jagiellonia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, with a 55:41 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Afimico Pululu (14 goals), Jesús Imaz (13 goals), B. Vital (4 goals), with creative support from Jesús Imaz (6 assists), Afimico Pululu (5 assists), A. Pozo (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6 with 48 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 45:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Kosidis (6 goals), M. Regula (5 goals), A. Radwanski (4 goals), with creative support from A. Radwanski (6 assists), M. Regula (3 assists), K. Szmyt (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Grzybek unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia won 6 times, Zaglebie Lubin won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Jagiellonia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1 / Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
Missing players: Jagiellonia 0, Zaglebie Lubin 1
H2H summary: Jagiellonia wins 6, draws 4, Zaglebie Lubin wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation