Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jagiellonia
24 matches
Gornik Zabrze
24 matches
| Jagiellonia | Statistic | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 13 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 42 | Goals For | 34 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 8.54 | Total Shots | 10.8 |
| 2.92 | Corners | 4.53 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 39.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Gornik Zabrze's more proactive style and Jagiellonia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gornik Zabrze. Gornik Zabrze look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jagiellonia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gornik Zabrze in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gornik Zabrze having the stronger overall control. Gornik Zabrze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 22 points while Jagiellonia sit 10 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Jagiellonia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 12 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 12:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Prelec (2 goals), Jesús Imaz (2 goals), O. Sow (2 goals), with creative support from N. Prelec (1 assists), K. Szmyt (1 assists), Sergio Lozano (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gornik Zabrze come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 22 points after 9 matches. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Peter (4 goals), K. UrbaÅski (3 goals), E. Prekop (2 goals), with creative support from K. UrbaÅski (1 assists), Josema Sánchez (1 assists), R. Janicki (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia won 6 times, Gornik Zabrze won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Jagiellonia's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gornik Zabrze
Away
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
Home
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|