BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Jacuipense
Match Timeline
Treze
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
Buba
Treze
69'
Dioran
Treze
74'
Luan Rodrigues
Jacuipense
89'
Vinicius Bala
Treze

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jacuipense Win 39.3%
Draw 19.4%
Treze Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jacuipense1.28
Treze1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jacuipense Jacuipense
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Treze Treze
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jacuipense Jacuipense 10 matches
Treze Treze 10 matches
Jacuipense Statistic Treze
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
12 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 14
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together Treze's more proactive style and Jacuipense's more cautious structure, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Treze. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Treze having the stronger overall control.

Jacuipense Analysis

Jacuipense come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking influence is driven by Thiaguinho (3 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Treze Analysis

Treze enter this tie with a season profile built on 17 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 18:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Buba (4 goals), Jean Carlo (4 goals), Gustavo Petrocelli (3 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Jacuipense won 1 times, Treze won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Jacuipense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
H2H summary: Jacuipense wins 1, draws 1, Treze wins 1
Last matches: Jacuipense
14.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
Last matches: Treze
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
0
W
H2H: Jacuipense vs Treze
21.06.26
H2H
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
22.11.20
H2H
Jacuipense
Treze
3
2
W
19.09.20
H2H
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
Last matches: Jacuipense
14.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
H2H at home: Jacuipense
21.06.26
H2H
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
22.11.20
H2H
Jacuipense
Treze
3
2
W
Last matches: Treze
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
0
4
L
H2H away: Treze
21.06.26
H2H
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
W
22.11.20
H2H
Jacuipense
Treze
3
2
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Treze Away
10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)