BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Ivinhema
Match Timeline
Ipatinga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
Pedro Henrique
Ipatinga
78'
Paulo Henrique
Ipatinga
83'
C. C. Alisson d.
Ivinhema
90'
Marcelo
Ipatinga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Ivinhema Win 45.5%
Draw 36.4%
Ipatinga Win 18.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ivinhema1.1
Ipatinga0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ivinhema Ivinhema
WWDLW
3 GF / 1 GA
Ipatinga Ipatinga
WLDWL
2 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ivinhema Ivinhema 2 matches
Ipatinga Ipatinga 2 matches
Ivinhema Statistic Ipatinga
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
3 Goals For 2
1 Goals Against 1
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ivinhema's approach and Ipatinga's different tactical profile. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ipatinga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ivinhema arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 6 points compared to Ipatinga in - on -, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ipatinga having the stronger overall control.

Ivinhema Analysis

Ivinhema arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 6 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 3:1 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Robert (1 goals), Selson (1 goals), Vitinho (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ipatinga Analysis

Ipatinga approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing - with - points from - matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through Erick Salles (1 goals), Junior Fialho (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ivinhema won 0 times, Ipatinga won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Ivinhema's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.8%)
H2H summary: Ivinhema wins 0, draws 0, Ipatinga wins 2
Last matches: Ivinhema
21.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: Ipatinga
20.06.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Vitória ES
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Ivinhema
3
0
W
18.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Uberlandia
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
CRAC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
CRAC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Uberlandia
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ipatinga
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
H2H: Ivinhema vs Ipatinga
23.05.26
H2H
Ipatinga
Ivinhema
3
0
L
19.04.26
H2H
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
Last matches: Ivinhema
21.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ivinhema
19.04.26
H2H
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
Last matches: Ipatinga
20.06.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Vitória ES
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
2
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Uberlandia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ipatinga
CRAC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ipatinga
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
H2H away: Ipatinga
19.04.26
H2H
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)