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14.07.2026 22:00
Estadio Carlos Sacaan
Ituzaingó
Match Timeline
San Martín Burzaco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
B. Chavez
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
23'
emanuel zagert
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
38'
Uriel Axel Alan Sotelo
Ituzaingó
🔄
45'
A. Sotelo ↔ S. Gras
Ituzaingó
🟨
61'
ariel siliman
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
64'
B. Chavez ↔ R. Diaz
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
64'
R. Velazquez ↔ E. Treppo
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
72'
I. Regules ↔ A. Politano
Ituzaingó
🔄
72'
J. Fanti ↔ F. Luppino
Ituzaingó
🟨
74'
Emanuel Cipriano Treppo
San Martín Burzaco
⚽
75'
F. Luppino
Ituzaingó
🔄
80'
N. A. Gauna ↔ A. Funes
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
83'
K. Denis ↔ L. Lezcano
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
86'
Emanuel Mantovani
Ituzaingó
🔄
87'
J. Salvadores ↔ E. Ibanez
Ituzaingó
⚽
88'
A. Funes
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
90+4'
richard lazarev
San Martín Burzaco

Ituzaingó vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ituzaingó Win 26.6%
Draw 16.5%
San Martín Burzaco Win 56.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituzaingó0.74
San Martín Burzaco1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WWDLW
17 GF / 45 GA
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
12
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 25 matches
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 24 matches
Ituzaingó Statistic San Martín Burzaco
1 Wins 7
7 Draws 11
17 Losses 6
17 Goals For 23
45 Goals Against 20
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
12 BTTS Yes 7
19 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by San Martín Burzaco's more proactive style and Ituzaingó's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ituzaingó have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martín Burzaco having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martín Burzaco. San Martín Burzaco carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 29 points while Ituzaingó sit 22 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Ituzaingó Analysis

With 9 points from 21 games and a place of 22, Ituzaingó still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 15:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

San Martín Burzaco sit 10 with 29 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó won 5 times, San Martín Burzaco won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Ituzaingó's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
H2H summary: Ituzaingó wins 5, draws 4, San Martín Burzaco wins 6

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 23 8 8 63:30 33 77
W L W W W
2 39 20 12 7 53:26 27 72
W L W L W
3 39 19 11 9 47:29 18 68
W W W D L
4 39 19 11 9 41:24 17 68
D L W D L
5 39 17 14 8 39:24 15 65
D L D W L
6 39 17 13 9 44:30 14 64
D L L L L
7 39 17 10 12 42:38 4 61
D W W W W
8 39 17 10 12 42:39 3 61
L W L W W
9 39 14 14 11 39:34 5 56
D D D W D
10 39 13 13 13 47:51 -4 52
D W L L D
11 39 12 14 13 40:44 -4 50
L W L W W
12 39 11 14 14 40:43 -3 47
L L W D L
13 39 11 14 14 37:43 -6 47
L W W D D
14 39 10 15 14 37:52 -15 45
D D L W L
15 39 11 11 17 34:41 -7 44
L L L W L
16 39 9 17 13 32:39 -7 44
D D D D W
17 39 10 14 15 32:40 -8 44
D W L L W
18 39 9 15 15 25:37 -12 42
W D W D L
19 39 11 9 19 35:48 -13 42
W D L L W
20 39 9 14 16 33:40 -7 41
L D W L W
21 39 6 20 13 22:35 -13 38
W W D L L
22 39 1 13 25 27:64 -37 16
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)