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10.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Carlos Sacaan

Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.4%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.87
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.4%
2.21 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.87 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.25 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ituzaingó Win 16.4%
Draw 7.2%
Argentino Quilmes Win 76.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituzaingó0.77
Argentino Quilmes1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WWDLW
25 GF / 66 GA
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WLDWL
30 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
18
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 39 matches
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 38 matches
Ituzaingó Statistic Argentino Quilmes
1 Wins 9
12 Draws 16
26 Losses 13
25 Goals For 30
66 Goals Against 37
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
18 BTTS Yes 13
28 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 16
20 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Argentino Quilmes. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Argentino Quilmes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 16 with 43 points while Ituzaingó sit 22 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino Quilmes having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ituzaingó have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Ituzaingó Analysis

Ituzaingó sit 22 with 15 points after 38 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 12 draws, and 25 defeats, and the 25:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

With 43 points from 38 games and a place of 16, Argentino Quilmes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 16 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 30:37, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó won 6 times, Argentino Quilmes won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Ituzaingó's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Ituzaingó wins 6, draws 2, Argentino Quilmes wins 6

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)