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MOROCCO › BOTOLA PRO
03.05.2026 20:00
Stade Ibn Batouta
Referee: N. Benrqia
Ittihad Tanger
Match Timeline
FAR Rabat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Mohssine Bourika
FAR Rabat
🔄
46'
H. El Moudene ↔ K. Lagrouch
Ittihad Tanger
🔄
46'
M. Bouriga ↔ J. E. El Khfiyef
FAR Rabat
🔄
46'
To Carneiro ↔ J. Ech Chamakh
FAR Rabat
🟨
56'
Faouzi Abdoul Mutalib
Ittihad Tanger
🟨
59'
Karim Lagrouch
Ittihad Tanger
🔄
65'
A. Hadraf ↔ N. Mbemba
FAR Rabat
🔄
79'
A. Hammoudan ↔ H. Khabba
FAR Rabat
🔄
80'
A. El Wahabi ↔ B. El Ouadghiri
Ittihad Tanger
🔄
80'
A. Maali ↔ P. Gaye
Ittihad Tanger
🟨
81'
Jamal Ech-Chammakh
FAR Rabat
🔄
84'
K. Ouarkhane Alt ↔ T. Razko
FAR Rabat
🔄
86'
F. Abdoul Mutalib ↔ E. El Bellali
Ittihad Tanger
🟨
87'
Zakaria Kiani
Ittihad Tanger
🔄
90'
J. Rhabra ↔ A. Darazi
Ittihad Tanger

Ittihad Tanger vs FAR Rabat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ittihad Tanger Win 28.1%
Draw 16.5%
FAR Rabat Win 55.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ittihad Tanger0.68
FAR Rabat1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger
WWDLW
14 GF / 21 GA
FAR Rabat FAR Rabat
WLDWL
27 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
0.47
10
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 17 matches
FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 17 matches
Ittihad Tanger Statistic FAR Rabat
3 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
6 Losses 0
14 Goals For 27
21 Goals Against 8
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 0.47
10 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FAR Rabat's more proactive style and Ittihad Tanger's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. FAR Rabat carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 32 points while Ittihad Tanger sit 10 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FAR Rabat. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ittihad Tanger expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and FAR Rabat in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FAR Rabat having the stronger overall control.

Ittihad Tanger Analysis

Ittihad Tanger are currently 10 in the standings with 17 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 14:21 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. El Bahja (3 goals), K. Lagrouch (3 goals), B. El Ouadghiri (2 goals), with creative support from A. Maali (5 assists), H. El Bahja (1 assists), M. Moutaouali (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FAR Rabat Analysis

FAR Rabat come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 32 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 25:7 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Hrimat (7 goals), Y. El Fahli (7 goals), K. Ouarkhane Alt (2 goals), with creative support from R. Slim (3 assists), A. Bach (2 assists), A. Habbassi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ittihad Tanger won 0 times, FAR Rabat won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:31 from Ittihad Tanger's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Ittihad Tanger 3-4-1-2 / FAR Rabat 4-4-2
H2H summary: Ittihad Tanger wins 0, draws 5, FAR Rabat wins 10

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation