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TURKEY › 1. LIG
10.10.2026 16:00

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
İstanbulspor Win 60.5%
Draw 12%
Esenler Erokspor Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
İstanbulspor0.92
Esenler Erokspor1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
WWDLW
7 GF / 22 GA
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
WLDWL
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.5
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
4
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 10 matches
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 8 matches
İstanbulspor Statistic Esenler Erokspor
1 Wins 0
2 Draws 5
7 Losses 3
7 Goals For 4
22 Goals Against 10
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
4 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.88
10.25 Total Shots 11
3.13 Corners 5.13
42.5% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Esenler Erokspor. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with İstanbulspor expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Esenler Erokspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Esenler Erokspor having the stronger overall control.

İstanbulspor Analysis

With 5 points from 8 games and a place of 18, İstanbulspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 7:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alieu Cham (1 goals), Ömer Faruk Duymaz (1 goals), Mustafa Sol (1 goals), with creative support from Alieu Cham (1 assists), Berk Ali Nizam (1 assists), Michael Ologo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Esenler Erokspor Analysis

Esenler Erokspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 5 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats with a 4:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mikail Okyar (1 goals), Y. Erdoğan (1 goals), with creative support from Guélor Kanga (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, İstanbulspor won 3 times, Esenler Erokspor won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from İstanbulspor's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: İstanbulspor 4-4-2 / Esenler Erokspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: İstanbulspor wins 3, draws 0, Esenler Erokspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation