ITALY › SERIE A
22.08.2026 16:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy
Inter
Match Timeline
Monza
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
H. Calhanoglu · Assist: A. Diouf
Inter
⚽
29'
G. Varela · Assist: M. Mout
Monza
🟨
34'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
🟨
45+1'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Inter
⚽
48'
P. Zielinski
Inter
🔄
54'
H. Calhanoglu ↔ P. Sucic
Inter
🔄
54'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
⚽
55'
F. Esposito · Assist: A. Diouf
Inter
⚽
63'
Y. Bisseck · Assist: F. Esposito
Inter
🟨
69'
Eddy Kouadio
Monza
🔄
70'
M. Mout ↔ N. Galazzi
Monza
🔄
70'
A. Colpani ↔ O. Forson
Monza
🔄
70'
A. Bakoune ↔ P. Cutrone
Monza
🔄
75'
M. Akanji ↔ J. Stones
Inter
🔄
75'
A. Diouf ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🔄
83'
P. Zielinski ↔ A. Stankovic
Inter
🔄
83'
G. Varela ↔ J. Robinson
Monza
🟨
84'
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Monza
🔄
88'
L. Lucchesi ↔ F. Delli Carri
Monza

Inter vs Monza Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Win 56.4%
Draw 3.4%
Monza Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter1.56
Monza1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Inter
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Monza Monza
WLDWL
13 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.6
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Inter 5 matches
Monza Monza 5 matches
Inter Statistic Monza
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
7 Goals For 13
4 Goals Against 9
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 22
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Inter won 4 times, Monza won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:10 from Inter's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Inter 3-5-2 / Monza 3-4-3
Missing players: Inter 3, Monza 7
H2H summary: Inter wins 4, draws 3, Monza wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2
Inter Home
5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16
Monza Away
5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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Play-offs
Relegation