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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
02.05.2026 23:15
Nu Stadium
Referee: Guido Gonzales Jr, USA
Inter Miami
Match Timeline
Orlando City SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
I. Fray · Assist: T. Segovia
Inter Miami
🟨
18'
Robin Jansson
Orlando City SC
⚽
25'
T. Segovia · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
⚽
33'
L. Messi · Assist: L. Suarez
Inter Miami
🟨
36'
Adrián Marín
Orlando City SC
⚽
39'
M. Ojeda · Assist: J. Ellis
Orlando City SC
🟨
45+5'
Dayne St. Clair
Inter Miami
🔄
46'
Luis Otavio ↔ E. Atuesta
Orlando City SC
🔄
46'
Tiago ↔ T. Spicer
Orlando City SC
🟨
52'
Yannick Bright
Inter Miami
🟨
59'
Rodrigo De Paul
Inter Miami
🔄
59'
J. Ellis ↔ D. McGuire
Orlando City SC
🔄
66'
I. Fray ↔ F. Mura
Inter Miami
⚽
68'
M. Ojeda · Assist: A. Gomez
Orlando City SC
🔄
71'
L. Suarez ↔ T. Allende
Inter Miami
🟨
78'
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami
⚽
78'
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
🔄
87'
A. Gomez ↔ D. Brekalo
Orlando City SC
🟨
90+6'
Maxime Crépeau
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+4'
M. Ojeda ↔ Z. Taifi
Orlando City SC
⚽
90'
T. Spicer · Assist: B. Ojeda
Orlando City SC

Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 100%
Draw 0%
Orlando City SC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami2.09
Orlando City SC1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WLDWL
19 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
2.79
11
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
12
5.75
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 16 matches
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 14 matches
Inter Miami Statistic Orlando City SC
7 Wins 3
7 Draws 2
2 Losses 9
26 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 39
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.79
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 4
5.75 Shots On Goal 4
14.25 Total Shots 10.8
5.08 Corners 4
58.5% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Inter Miami's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orlando City SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Orlando City SC in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orlando City SC having the stronger overall control. Orlando City SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter Miami arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Orlando City SC in 14 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Inter Miami Analysis

Placed 2 with 19 points from 10 outings, Inter Miami continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 19:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Messi (7 goals), G. Berterame (3 goals), L. Suarez (2 goals), with creative support from Telasco Segovia (4 assists), G. Berterame (2 assists), M. Silvetti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Orlando City SC Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Orlando City SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 12:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Ojeda (4 goals), M. Pasalic (2 goals), D. McGuire (1 goals), with creative support from I. Angulo (3 assists), Z. Taifi (2 assists), J. Ellis (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 5 times, Orlando City SC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:24 from Inter Miami's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 3-4-3 / Orlando City SC 5-3-2
Missing players: Inter Miami 1, Orlando City SC 6
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 5, draws 5, Orlando City SC wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 7 3 64:23 41 67
D W W W W
2 30 15 10 5 73:51 22 55
W W W L D
3 30 16 4 10 49:41 8 52
W W L L W
4 30 14 6 10 52:44 8 48
L L W W W
5 30 13 8 9 53:45 8 47
D L W L W
6 30 13 7 10 61:48 13 46
D W W W W
7 30 12 5 13 58:70 -12 41
W D W L L
8 30 10 6 14 39:56 -17 36
L L W L W
9 28 9 9 10 60:68 -8 36
L W L D D
10 30 8 12 10 46:55 -9 36
W D W L L
11 30 8 10 12 43:41 2 34
D L L D L
12 29 7 12 10 37:51 -14 33
L W L D L
13 29 9 5 15 44:47 -3 32
W L W W L
14 30 8 6 16 37:51 -14 30
L W L D W
15 30 6 7 17 36:60 -24 25
D L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)