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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.10.2026 23:30
Nu Stadium

Inter Miami vs DC United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 60.7%
Draw 15.6%
DC United Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami1.92
DC United1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WWDLW
71 GF / 58 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
35 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
26
BTTS Yes
17
25
Over 2.5
16
5.79
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 matches
DC United DC United 30 matches
Inter Miami Statistic DC United
14 Wins 6
13 Draws 14
6 Losses 10
71 Goals For 35
58 Goals Against 47
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
26 BTTS Yes 17
30 Over 1.5 20
25 Over 2.5 16
18 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 11
5.79 Shots On Goal 4.58
14.41 Total Shots 13.19
4.93 Corners 5.04
55.1% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Inter Miami's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Inter Miami arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 46 points compared to DC United in 11 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring DC United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 46 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 64:50 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Messi (13 goals), L. Suárez (10 goals), G. Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from L. Messi (10 assists), R. De Paul (6 assists), T. Segovia (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

DC United Analysis

DC United sit 11 with 30 points after 26 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 34:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Tai Baribo (9 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), L. Bartlett (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kurokawa (6 assists), Peglow (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 5 times, DC United won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Inter Miami's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 4-3-3 / DC United 4-4-2
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 5, draws 3, DC United wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 3 55:21 34 60
W W D L D
2 27 14 4 9 45:36 9 46
L W W W L
3 27 12 10 5 64:50 14 46
L D D D D
4 27 12 7 8 47:38 9 43
L W D W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
W L L D D
6 27 11 6 10 54:44 10 39
W W W W W
7 27 10 4 13 48:64 -16 34
L L W W W
8 27 9 6 12 34:51 -17 33
L W W L D
9 27 8 9 10 41:36 5 33
D L W L D
10 26 8 9 9 55:64 -9 33
L D D L L
11 26 6 12 8 34:42 -8 30
D L D W D
12 27 8 5 14 39:43 -4 29
W W L L W
13 27 6 11 10 39:51 -12 29
L L L W D
14 27 7 6 14 32:45 -13 27
D W D L D
15 27 6 6 15 34:54 -20 24
W L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)