Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
93.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente
25 matches
Independ. Rivadavia
32 matches
| Independiente | Statistic | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 19 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 5 |
| 37 | Goals For | 54 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 12.91 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 5.82 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Independiente have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independ. Rivadavia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independ. Rivadavia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 34 points while Independiente sit 5 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independ. Rivadavia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independ. Rivadavia having the stronger overall control.
Independiente sit 5 with 24 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 24:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Ávalos (4 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 goals), Matías Abaldo (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Ávalos (2 assists), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 assists), Matías Abaldo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Placed 1 with 34 points from 16 outings, Independ. Rivadavia continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 29:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alex Arce (5 goals), Leonel Bucca (3 goals), José Florentín (2 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (4 assists), Matías Fernández (3 assists), Leonard Costa (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 2 times, Independ. Rivadavia won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Independiente's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
W
L
L
W
|