COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A

25.07.2026 21:05

Independiente Medellin

3 - 2

Deportivo Pasto

Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagüí

Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia

Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Independiente Medellin

Match Timeline

Deportivo Pasto

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 63.7%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	63.7%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Independiente Medellin Win 44.4%

Draw 19.3%

Deportivo Pasto Win 36.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Independiente Medellin1.33

Deportivo Pasto1.35

Recent Form (Last 5)

Independiente Medellin

WWDLW

41 GF / 38 GA

Deportivo Pasto

WLDWL

31 GF / 28 GA

Key Stats

1.37

Average Goals Scored

1.41

1.27

Average Goals Conceded

1.27

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.54

Shots on Goal

3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Medellin 30 matches

Deportivo Pasto 22 matches

Independiente Medellin	Statistic	Deportivo Pasto
12	Wins	11
8	Draws	4
10	Losses	7
41	Goals For	31
38	Goals Against	28
1.37	Avg Goals Scored	1.41
1.27	Avg Goals Conceded	1.27
21	BTTS Yes	11
23	Over 1.5	16
17	Over 2.5	11
8	Over 3.5	5
7	Clean Sheets	8
4	Failed To Score	5
4.54	Shots On Goal	3.86
13.82	Total Shots	12.1
5.29	Corners	4.05
51%	Ball Possession	51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 7 times, Deportivo Pasto won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)

Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pasto 4-3-3

H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 7, draws 4, Deportivo Pasto wins 3

Standings

Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	20	40	W D W D L
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	7	35	D D D L L
3	Deportivo Pasto Away	19	10	4	5	29:25	4	34	D L W W D
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	10	33	D L W W D
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	9	33	W W D L L
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	10	31	L L D D D
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	7	29	L W W L W
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28	D D D L L
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	4	27	D D W W W
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	8	26	W D D D W
11	Independiente Medellin Home	19	7	5	7	26:24	2	26	L W L D L
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26	W D D W L
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	6	23	D D W W W
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22	W L L L W
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22	D D D L D
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18	L W L L L
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17	D L W L W
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17	L L D W L
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16	W W W L L
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10	D D L L D

Post season qualification