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01.05.2026 02:00
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Referee: G. A. Vargas Carreno
Independiente Medellin
Match Timeline
Cusco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
D. Catano ↔ D. Moreno
Independiente Medellin
🔄
56'
G. Carabajal ↔ C. Diez
Cusco
🟨
63'
Francisco Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
🟨
63'
José Zevallos
Cusco
🔄
63'
F. Chaverra ↔ J. Montano
Independiente Medellin
🔄
64'
E. Mena Perea ↔ H. Palacios
Independiente Medellin
🔄
70'
H. Loboa ↔ B. Perlaza
Independiente Medellin
🟨
74'
Pedro Diaz
Cusco
🔄
78'
J. Manzaneda ↔ J. Bolivar
Cusco
🟨
79'
Hayen Palacios
Independiente Medellin
⚽
87'
F. Fydriszewski · Assist: J. Montano
Independiente Medellin
🟨
90+3'
Frank Fabra
Independiente Medellin
🔄
90+1'
Yony Gonzalez ↔ L. Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
🔄
90+1'
J. Zevallos ↔ J. Tevez
Cusco
🔄
90+1'
D. Soto ↔ I. Colman
Cusco

Independiente Medellin vs Cusco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Independiente Medellin Win 48.2%
Draw 24.8%
Cusco Win 27%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Medellin1.47
Cusco1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WWDLW
36 GF / 33 GA
Cusco Cusco
WLDWL
17 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
19
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 26 matches
Cusco Cusco 15 matches
Independiente Medellin Statistic Cusco
10 Wins 6
8 Draws 2
8 Losses 7
36 Goals For 17
33 Goals Against 24
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
19 BTTS Yes 9
21 Over 1.5 11
15 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.14
13.71 Total Shots 11.43
5.17 Corners 3.36
51.5% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 2 times, Cusco won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-4-1-1 / Cusco 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 2, draws 0, Cusco wins 0

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
W L D D W
3 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W W L D
4
Cusco Away
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1
L L D L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals