Independiente del Valle vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.3%
|
1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.72 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
37 matches
Macara
30 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 14 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 83 | Goals For | 41 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.97 | Shots On Goal | 4.79 |
| 17.06 | Total Shots | 12.89 |
| 5.86 | Corners | 4.54 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 48.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Macara. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Independiente del Valle come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 68 points compared to Macara in 4 on 42, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 68 points after 27 matches. With 22 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 66:28, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Perelló (6 goals), Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez (6 goals), D. Reasco (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rodríguez (5 assists), D. Reasco (4 assists), J. Viacava (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Macara approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 42 points after 26 outings. The return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 33:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Franco Posse (9 goals), Agustin Campana (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 9 times, Macara won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:14 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Macara
Away
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|