Login Register
20.05.2026 02:00
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Referee: A. Daronco
Independiente del Valle
Match Timeline
Libertad Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
J. Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
⚽
43'
C. Gonzalez · Assist: J. Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
⚽
45'
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
R. Rojas ↔ J. Bernal
Libertad Asuncion
VAR
56'
E. Pata
Independiente del Valle
⚽
64'
J. Lerma
Independiente del Valle
🔄
66'
A. Fretes ↔ J. Recalde
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
66'
F. Carrizo ↔ G. Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
68'
G. Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
73'
T. Fernandez ↔ H. Caballero
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
74'
J. Lerma ↔ R. Briones
Independiente del Valle
🔄
79'
M. Fernandez ↔ R. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
81'
J. Sornoza ↔ Y. Ochoa
Independiente del Valle
🔄
81'
E. Pata ↔ M. Perello
Independiente del Valle
🔄
84'
C. Gonzalez ↔ D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
84'
J. Alcivar ↔ J. Mendez
Independiente del Valle
⚽
90'
D. Reasco · Assist: M. Perello
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Independiente del Valle Win 88.6%
Draw 0%
Libertad Asuncion Win 11.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente del Valle1.56
Libertad Asuncion1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WWDLW
33 GF / 20 GA
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
9
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
5.61
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 19 matches
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 25 matches
Independiente del Valle Statistic Libertad Asuncion
13 Wins 9
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 12
33 Goals For 36
20 Goals Against 32
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
9 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 9
5.61 Shots On Goal 4.36
18.28 Total Shots 12.44
6.56 Corners 4.08
58.8% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, Libertad Asuncion won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1 / Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2
H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 2, draws 0, Libertad Asuncion wins 0

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W L W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:1 8 13
L W W W W
3 6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
W L W L L
4 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals