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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
15.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Referee: Russell Macario Teran Leon, Ecuador
Independiente del Valle
Match Timeline
Delfin SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
H. Quintana · Assist: R. Briones
Independiente del Valle
⚽
23'
A. A. Cisneros Montenegro
Independiente del Valle
⚽
45'
F. Ayunta · Assist: J. Morocho
Delfin SC
⚽
45'
C. Gonzalez · Assist: J. Angulo
Independiente del Valle
🔄
46'
H. Quintana ↔ J. Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🔄
46'
E. Pata ↔ A. Rodriguez
Independiente del Valle
🔄
46'
A. Alvarez ↔ G. Heredia
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
B. Hernandez ↔ C. Banguera
Delfin SC
🔄
50'
C. Gonzalez ↔ D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
60'
D. Luna ↔ J. Arce
Delfin SC
🔄
63'
J. Alcivar ↔ J. Mendez
Independiente del Valle
⚽
67'
J. Arce · Assist: J. Morocho
Delfin SC
🟨
74'
Jonathan Morocho
Delfin SC
🔄
75'
J. Angulo ↔ M. Perello
Independiente del Valle
🟨
80'
Daykol Romero
Independiente del Valle
🟨
80'
Thiago Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🔄
83'
T. Ozaeta ↔ F. Perinciolo
Delfin SC
🟨
90+4'
Junior Sornoza
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Independiente del Valle Win 85.2%
Draw 3.4%
Delfin SC Win 11.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente del Valle1.74
Delfin SC0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WWDLW
70 GF / 30 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
16 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.26
Average Goals Scored
0.64
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
15
BTTS Yes
8
19
Over 2.5
6
5.93
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 31 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 25 matches
Independiente del Valle Statistic Delfin SC
24 Wins 7
2 Draws 6
5 Losses 12
70 Goals For 16
30 Goals Against 24
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
15 BTTS Yes 8
26 Over 1.5 9
19 Over 2.5 6
13 Over 3.5 2
13 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 11
5.93 Shots On Goal 3.29
17.03 Total Shots 11.08
5.97 Corners 3.25
52.9% Ball Possession 39.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Delfin SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Delfin SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 58 points compared to Delfin SC in 15 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Independiente del Valle come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Independiente del Valle Analysis

Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 58 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 56:22 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Matías Perello (6 goals), Emerson Pata (6 goals), Djorkaeff Reasco (5 goals), with creative support from Arón Rodríguez (5 assists), Juan Viacava (4 assists), Djorkaeff Reasco (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 15 with 23 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 14:23 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Kevin Ushiña (1 assists), Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 8 times, Delfin SC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1 / Delfin SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 8, draws 3, Delfin SC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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