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IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IMT Novi Beograd Win 47.7%
Draw 25.1%
Radnik Surdulica Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
IMT Novi Beograd1.09
Radnik Surdulica1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd
WWDLW
17 GF / 27 GA
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
8
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
5
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 20 matches
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 16 matches
IMT Novi Beograd Statistic Radnik Surdulica
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
11 Losses 4
17 Goals For 22
27 Goals Against 23
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
8 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 4.7
15.3 Total Shots 14.8
5.2 Corners 4.2
50.5% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and IMT Novi Beograd's more proactive style and Radnik Surdulica's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Radnik Surdulica. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IMT Novi Beograd expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Radnik Surdulica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radnik Surdulica having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IMT Novi Beograd Analysis

IMT Novi Beograd come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 15 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Cojic (2 goals), C. Keita (2 goals), N. Glišić (2 goals), with creative support from T. Cojic (2 assists), C. Keita (2 assists), N. Glišić (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Radnik Surdulica Analysis

Radnik Surdulica are currently 7 in the standings with 14 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 14:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Bogdanović (5 goals), M. Novaković (2 goals), U. Lazić (1 goals), with creative support from Đ. Jovanović (3 assists), M. Novaković (2 assists), A. Pejović (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, IMT Novi Beograd won 3 times, Radnik Surdulica won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from IMT Novi Beograd's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75%)
Predicted formations: IMT Novi Beograd 4-4-2 / Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: IMT Novi Beograd wins 3, draws 2, Radnik Surdulica wins 1

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 24:3 21 28
W W W D W
2 10 7 1 2 21:10 11 22
D W W W W
3 9 5 2 2 17:9 8 17
W W D D W
4 10 4 4 2 10:12 -2 16
W L W L W
5 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
D L D W L
6 9 4 2 3 14:10 4 14
W L W L W
7 10 3 5 2 14:15 -1 14
D D D W L
8 10 3 4 3 10:11 -1 13
D D W D L
9 10 3 2 5 12:18 -6 11
L D L L L
10 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
L L D L W
11 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
D L L W L
12 9 2 2 5 6:11 -5 8
L W L D L
13 10 2 2 6 6:17 -11 8
L L D D W
14 10 0 3 7 6:19 -13 3
D D L L L
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