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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
16.08.2026 12:00
Grimsta IP
Referee: Joakim Ostling, Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
Match Timeline
Orgryte IS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
M. Hansen · Assist: O. Berg
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
46'
W. Hofvander ↔ M. Ebietomere
Orgryte IS
⚽
59'
B. Laturnus
Orgryte IS
⚽
63'
H. Gustafsson
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
68'
W. Odefalk ↔ S. Ngouali
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
68'
S. Lagerlund ↔ J. Hammar
Orgryte IS
🔄
68'
M. Parker ↔ A. Andreasson
Orgryte IS
🔄
68'
O. Parker-Price ↔ J. Tibbling
Orgryte IS
🟨
73'
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Orgryte IS
🔄
80'
O. Berg ↔ L. Bjorklund
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
80'
O. Okeke ↔ A. Kurochkin
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
80'
A. Andersson ↔ W. Kenndal
Orgryte IS
🟨
86'
William Kenndal
Orgryte IS
🔄
87'
K. Barslund ↔ O. Cotton
IF Brommapojkarna
🔄
87'
K. Sever ↔ M. Derbali
IF Brommapojkarna
⚽
87'
L. Bjorklund · Assist: M. Hansen
IF Brommapojkarna
🟨
90+3'
Marlon Ebietomere
Orgryte IS

IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IF Brommapojkarna Win 49.7%
Draw 29.7%
Orgryte IS Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Orgryte IS1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna
WWDLW
31 GF / 42 GA
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
WLDWL
27 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
2.22
19
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
12
3.69
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna 26 matches
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 23 matches
IF Brommapojkarna Statistic Orgryte IS
6 Wins 5
9 Draws 6
11 Losses 12
31 Goals For 27
42 Goals Against 51
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 2.22
19 BTTS Yes 11
24 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
3.69 Shots On Goal 3.88
10.56 Total Shots 10.94
4.25 Corners 4
45.9% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. IF Brommapojkarna have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orgryte IS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IF Brommapojkarna expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Orgryte IS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orgryte IS having the stronger overall control.

IF Brommapojkarna Analysis

IF Brommapojkarna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 17 points from 15 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 20:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andreas Troelsen (2 goals), Oliver Berg (2 goals), Kamilcan Sever (1 goals), with creative support from Mads Hansen (2 assists), Anton Kurochkin (2 assists), Oskar Cotton (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orgryte IS Analysis

With 13 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Orgryte IS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 20:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Noah Christoffersson (6 goals), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (2 goals), Adam Andersson (1 goals), with creative support from Owen Parker-Price (4 assists), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 assists), Adam Andersson (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, IF Brommapojkarna won 7 times, Orgryte IS won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:8 from IF Brommapojkarna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.4%)
Predicted formations: IF Brommapojkarna 4-4-2 / Orgryte IS 3-4-3
Missing players: IF Brommapojkarna 1, Orgryte IS 6
H2H summary: IF Brommapojkarna wins 7, draws 2, Orgryte IS wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation