ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
26.07.2026 19:15
Referee: P. Gudmundsson
IA Akranes
Match Timeline
Stjarnan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
H. Haraldsson · Assist: V. Jonsson
IA Akranes
⚽
9'
V. Jonsson · Assist: B. Berndsen
IA Akranes
⚽
26'
G. E. Gislason J. · Assist: G. Eyjolfsson
IA Akranes
🔄
46'
S. Ellertsson ↔ O. Stefansson
IA Akranes
🔄
46'
O. Eggertsson ↔ G. Nokkvason
Stjarnan
🔄
46'
J. Gunnarsson ↔ B. Waren
Stjarnan
🔄
46'
G. Kristjansson ↔ A. Leifsson
Stjarnan
🔄
60'
G. Kjeldsen ↔ S. T. Ingimarsson
Stjarnan
🔄
60'
B. Ingason ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
🟨
62'
G. E. Gislason J.
IA Akranes
⚽
66'
A. Bjarnason · Assist: A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
⚽
71'
M. P. Ellertsson
IA Akranes
🔄
76'
G. Thorarinsson ↔ I. Gudjonsson
IA Akranes
🔄
82'
G. Eyjolfsson ↔ S. Thorsteinsson
IA Akranes
🔄
82'
B. Bodvarsson ↔ J. Vall
IA Akranes
⚽
85'
A. Vilhjalmsson · Assist: A. Vilhjalmsson
Stjarnan
⚽
86'
M. P. Ellertsson · Assist: O. Stefansson
IA Akranes
🔄
89'
V. Jonsson ↔ G. Saevarsson
IA Akranes

IA Akranes vs Stjarnan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 25.4%
Draw 26.8%
Stjarnan Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.68
Stjarnan2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
21 GF / 33 GA
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WLDWL
39 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.95
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
10
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 15 matches
Stjarnan Stjarnan 20 matches
IA Akranes Statistic Stjarnan
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
21 Goals For 39
33 Goals Against 42
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
10 BTTS Yes 17
12 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 14
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stjarnan having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. IA Akranes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Stjarnan.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes sit 9 with 15 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 7 with 15 points after 14 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 28:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 2 times, Stjarnan won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:37 from IA Akranes's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: IA Akranes - / Stjarnan 4-3-3
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 2, draws 2, Stjarnan wins 10

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs