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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
04.07.2026 14:00
Referee: E. I. Arnason
IA Akranes
Match Timeline
Breidablik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
S. Thorsteinsson · Assist: O. Stefansson
IA Akranes
🟨
35'
I. Arnason
Breidablik
🔄
61'
G. Hallsson ↔ K. Jonsson
Breidablik
🔄
61'
I. Arnason ↔ J. Arnarsson
Breidablik
⚽
64'
A. Thorsteinsson · Assist: A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
73'
M. P. Ellertsson ↔ V. Jonsson
IA Akranes
🔄
74'
O. Stefansson ↔ G. Unnarsson
IA Akranes
🔄
74'
S. Thorsteinsson ↔ I. Gudjonsson
IA Akranes
🔄
77'
A. Gunnleifsson ↔ T. Willumsson
Breidablik
⚽
80'
T. Willumsson · Assist: D. Fjeldsted
Breidablik
🔄
90'
D. Fjeldsted ↔ K. Bjorgvinsson
Breidablik

IA Akranes vs Breidablik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 31.8%
Draw 25.2%
Breidablik Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.6
Breidablik2.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
16 GF / 23 GA
Breidablik Breidablik
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
2
7
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 12 matches
Breidablik Breidablik 12 matches
IA Akranes Statistic Breidablik
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
16 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 24
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 2
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Breidablik's more proactive style and IA Akranes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Breidablik having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Breidablik. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes sit 6 with 12 points after 9 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 15 points after 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 2 times, Breidablik won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:35 from IA Akranes's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.8%)
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 2, draws 1, Breidablik wins 12

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
D W W D D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L D L D D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W L W L D
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
W L W L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
D W L W D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L D L L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L W D W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
L D W W D
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W W L W
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W L L W W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W W L W D
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs