Login Register
AUSTRALIA › VICTORIA NPL
12.09.2026 08:15
Hume City
Match Timeline
Avondale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
B. Carpenter
Avondale
⚽
28'
B. Carpenter
Avondale
⚽
45+1'
G. Debele
Hume City
⚽
87'
K. Trajceski
Avondale
🟥
90'
B. Kirdar
Hume City
🟥
90'
Y. Towns
Avondale
⚽
90+4'
A. Coyne
Hume City

Hume City vs Avondale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.1%
2.35 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.49 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hume City Win 51.1%
Draw 14.1%
Avondale Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hume City1.68
Avondale2.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hume City Hume City
WWDLW
51 GF / 36 GA
Avondale Avondale
WLDWL
67 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
2.48
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
18
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hume City Hume City 26 matches
Avondale Avondale 27 matches
Hume City Statistic Avondale
15 Wins 16
4 Draws 2
7 Losses 9
51 Goals For 67
36 Goals Against 34
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 2.48
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
18 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Avondale have the edge after taking the first leg 2-0, leaving Hume City needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Avondale having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Avondale. Avondale look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Hume City Analysis

Hume City come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 49 points from 26 matches. The return of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 51:36 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Avondale Analysis

Avondale come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 47 points from 26 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with goals at 65:34 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Hume City won 1 times, Avondale won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from Hume City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Hume City wins 1, draws 0, Avondale wins 4

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
L W L W W
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W W
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L