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24.05.2026 16:30
Estadio El Alcoraz
Referee: R. Sanchez
Huesca
Match Timeline
Castellón
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sergi Enrich
Huesca
🟨
54'
Iñigo Piña
Huesca
🟨
54'
Jordi Martín
Huesca
🔄
56'
S. Enrich ↔ J. Escobar
Huesca
🔄
56'
J. Alvarez ↔ E. Rodriguez
Huesca
🟨
62'
Jorge Pulido
Huesca
⚽
63'
O. Camara · Assist: A. Jimenez
Castellón
🔄
67'
J. Martin ↔ L. Beltran
Huesca
🔄
67'
D. Luna ↔ A. Cantero
Huesca
🔄
71'
A. Jakobsen ↔ Ronaldo
Castellón
🔄
72'
O. Camara ↔ A. Garcia
Castellón
🔄
72'
Barri ↔ M. Doue
Castellón
🔄
79'
Pina ↔ D. Ojeda
Huesca
🔄
84'
A. Calatrava ↔ I. Suero
Castellón
🔄
90'
P. Santiago ↔ M. Willman
Castellón

Huesca vs Castellón Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Huesca Win 22.8%
Draw 12.2%
Castellón Win 65%
Expected Goals (xG)
Huesca1.15
Castellón1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Huesca Huesca
WWDLW
47 GF / 65 GA
Castellón Castellón
WLDWL
67 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
24
BTTS Yes
25
20
Over 2.5
20
3
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Huesca Huesca 43 matches
Castellón Castellón 41 matches
Huesca Statistic Castellón
11 Wins 18
10 Draws 12
22 Losses 11
47 Goals For 67
65 Goals Against 51
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
24 BTTS Yes 25
31 Over 1.5 31
20 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 17
12 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 9
3 Shots On Goal 4.95
10.47 Total Shots 14.68
4.44 Corners 6
43.8% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Castellón's more proactive style and Huesca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Castellón. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Huesca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Castellón in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Castellón having the stronger overall control. Castellón carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 66 points while Huesca sit 19 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Huesca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Huesca Analysis

With 37 points from 40 games and a place of 19, Huesca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 40:61, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Sielva (7 goals), E. Rodriguez (5 goals), A. Carrillo (4 goals), with creative support from O. Sielva (5 assists), A. Carrillo (3 assists), I. Kortajarena (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Castellón Analysis

So far, Castellón have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 66 points from 40 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 67:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Álex Calatrava (13 goals), O. Camara (11 goals), Fabrizio Brignani (7 goals), with creative support from B. Cipenga (9 assists), Álex Calatrava (7 assists), I. Suero (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Huesca won 2 times, Castellón won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Huesca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Huesca 4-2-3-1 / Castellón 4-4-2
H2H summary: Huesca wins 2, draws 2, Castellón wins 2

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
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