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17.05.2026 16:30
Estadio CAP
Referee: Rodrigo Carvajal Molina
Huachipato
Match Timeline
Union La Calera
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
Bayron Oyarzo · Assist: Nicolás Avellaneda
Union La Calera
⚽
46'
Maicol León · Assist: Cris Martínez
Huachipato
🔄
46'
Sebastián Melgarejo ↔ Maximiliano Osorio
Huachipato
🔄
46'
Lucas Velásquez ↔ Mario Briceño
Huachipato
🔄
46'
Juan Figueroa ↔ Cris Martínez
Huachipato
🔄
46'
Ezequiel Cañete ↔ Maicol León
Huachipato
🔄
58'
Carlo Villanueva ↔ Joaquín Soto
Union La Calera
🔄
58'
Camilo Moya ↔ Yonathan Andía
Union La Calera
🔄
58'
Bayron Oyarzo ↔ Matías Campos López
Union La Calera
🟨
62'
Maicol León
Huachipato
🔄
63'
Alvaro Abarzua ↔ Maximiliano Rodríguez
Huachipato
🟨
70'
Daniel Gutiérrez
Union La Calera
⚽
71'
Lionel Altamirano · Assist: Nicolás Vargas
Huachipato
🟨
73'
Christopher Díaz
Union La Calera
🟨
74'
Cris Martínez
Huachipato
🟨
74'
Maximiliano Rodríguez
Huachipato
🟨
79'
Juan Manuel Requena
Union La Calera
🟨
81'
Lionel Altamirano
Huachipato
🔄
83'
Nicolás Palma ↔ Francisco Jose Pozzo
Union La Calera
🔄
89'
Cristián Gutiérrez ↔ Maximiliano Fernandez
Union La Calera
⚽
90+8'
Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil · Assist: Mario Briceño
Huachipato
VAR
90+14'
Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil
Huachipato

Huachipato vs Union La Calera Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Huachipato Win 76.6%
Draw 0%
Union La Calera Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Huachipato1.58
Union La Calera1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Huachipato Huachipato
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WLDWL
10 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
6
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
8
5.15
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Huachipato Huachipato 14 matches
Union La Calera Union La Calera 11 matches
Huachipato Statistic Union La Calera
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 7
19 Goals For 10
17 Goals Against 21
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
6 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 6
5.15 Shots On Goal 3.36
13 Total Shots 10.82
3.77 Corners 5.73
49% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Huachipato's more proactive style and Union La Calera's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union La Calera. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Huachipato arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 19 points compared to Union La Calera in 15 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Huachipato Analysis

Huachipato come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 19 points after 11 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 18:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through L. Altamirano (4 goals), C. Martinez (3 goals), M. Gutierrez (3 goals), with creative support from M. Rodriguez (3 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), L. Altamirano (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Union La Calera Analysis

Union La Calera approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 10:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Saez (7 goals), K. Mendez (3 goals), R. Caseres (2 goals), with creative support from K. Mendez (5 assists), S. Saez (1 assists), C. Diaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Huachipato won 5 times, Union La Calera won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from Huachipato's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Huachipato 4-2-3-1 / Union La Calera 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Huachipato wins 5, draws 1, Union La Calera wins 9

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 3 4 50:27 23 54
L D D W W
2 24 13 6 5 41:19 22 45
W W W L L
3 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
4 24 11 6 7 40:27 13 39
W W L W W
5 24 11 4 9 38:35 3 37
D L W L W
6 24 10 4 10 45:37 8 34
D L W W L
7 23 9 5 9 36:33 3 32
W L L W L
8 24 9 5 10 26:27 -1 32
D D L W D
9 24 8 8 8 28:37 -9 32
L L L L L
10 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W D L L
11 24 7 9 8 36:41 -5 30
L L W W D
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 24 4 6 14 20:41 -21 18
D W L L D