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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
16.08.2026 00:30
Shell Energy Stadium
Referee: R. Fierro
Houston Dynamo
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
🟨
45+1'
Héctor Herrera
Houston Dynamo
🔄
46'
M. Yoshida ↔ C. Garces
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
54'
E. Wynder ↔ I. Parente
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
56'
Lawrence Ennali
Houston Dynamo
VAR
57'
Lawrence Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🟥
58'
Carlos Garcés
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
65'
F. Negri ↔ D. Holmes
Houston Dynamo
🔄
65'
D. McGuire ↔ O. Lingr
Houston Dynamo
🔄
65'
K. Furuhashi ↔ T. Elgersma
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
65'
R. Taylor ↔ H. Lozano
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
83'
J. McGlynn ↔ A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🔄
89'
H. Herrera ↔ D. Samassekou
Houston Dynamo
🔄
89'
M. Bogusz ↔ I. Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+11'
Ibrahim Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+9'
Ibrahim Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🟥
90+11'
Ibrahim Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+4'
Hirving Lozano
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
90'
L. Sanabria ↔ R. Ramos
Los Angeles Galaxy

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Houston Dynamo Win 66.9%
Draw 3.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo1.64
Los Angeles Galaxy1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WWDLW
48 GF / 34 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
49 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
14
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
21
4.89
Shots on Goal
5.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 matches
Houston Dynamo Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
17 Wins 12
4 Draws 10
6 Losses 11
48 Goals For 49
34 Goals Against 47
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
14 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 29
13 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 5
4.89 Shots On Goal 5.12
13.39 Total Shots 13.08
4.28 Corners 5.42
45.8% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Houston Dynamo's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles Galaxy. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Los Angeles Galaxy in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles Galaxy having the stronger overall control. Houston Dynamo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 32 points compared to Los Angeles Galaxy in 12 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 32 points after 18 outings. The return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 27:24, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Guilherme (6 goals), Mateusz Bogusz (3 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy are currently 12 in the standings with 22 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 24:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Pec (4 goals), Joseph Paintsil (4 goals), Marco Reus (3 goals), with creative support from Marco Reus (3 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), Joseph Paintsil (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 5 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Houston Dynamo 4-2-3-1 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
Missing players: Houston Dynamo 2, Los Angeles Galaxy 4
H2H summary: Houston Dynamo wins 5, draws 7, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 59:26 33 50
D W L W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)