DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
DS Arena
Referee: J. Bogelund
Hobro
Match Timeline
Middelfart
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
E. Sogaard
Hobro
36'
R. Hauge · Assist: M. Bruhn
Hobro
43'
R. Hauge · Assist: S. Andreasen
Hobro
🔄
46'
R. Hauge ↔ T. Hansen
Hobro
🔄
62'
A. Akale ↔ M. Boesen
Middelfart
🔄
62'
P. Matiebel ↔ S. Trier
Middelfart
🔄
62'
B. Zjajo ↔ M. Praest
Middelfart
🔄
71'
C. Enemark ↔ M. Rosengreen
Hobro
🔄
71'
M. Bruhn ↔ H. Dahl
Hobro
🔄
74'
R. Koch ↔ N. Juul-Sandberg
Middelfart
🔄
81'
O. Klitten ↔ L. Hansen
Hobro
🔄
81'
S. Andreasen ↔ O. Meedom
Hobro
🔄
82'
V. Hegelund ↔ M. Greve
Middelfart
83'
J. Wielzen
Middelfart
88'
M. Boesen
Middelfart

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hobro Win 57.3%
Draw 25.9%
Middelfart Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hobro1.67
Middelfart1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hobro Hobro
WWDLW
37 GF / 41 GA
Middelfart Middelfart
WLDWL
30 GF / 74 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
2.39
13
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hobro Hobro 31 matches
Middelfart Middelfart 31 matches
Hobro Statistic Middelfart
10 Wins 3
9 Draws 6
12 Losses 22
37 Goals For 30
41 Goals Against 74
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 2.39
13 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 24
12 Over 2.5 22
6 Over 3.5 15
11 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Middelfart. Hobro arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 36 points compared to Middelfart in 6 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Middelfart having the stronger overall control. Middelfart arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Hobro Analysis

Hobro come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 36 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 36:41 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Bruhn (8 goals), S. Andreasen (7 goals), O. Klitten (5 goals), with creative support from L. Klitten (6 assists), O. Klitten (4 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Middelfart Analysis

With 15 points from 30 games and a place of 6, Middelfart still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 28:70, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Wielzen (6 goals), M. Boesen (6 goals), A. Akale (5 goals), with creative support from S. Pedersen (3 assists), B. Zjajo (2 assists), J. Villemoes (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Hobro won 3 times, Middelfart won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from Hobro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.2%)
H2H summary: Hobro wins 3, draws 1, Middelfart wins 1

Lineups

Middelfart
Formation
Hobro
C. Radza
C. Radza
V. Hegelund
V. Hegelund
J. Linnet
J. Linnet
L. Thomsen
L. Thomsen
P. Matiebel
P. Matiebel
N. Barholt
N. Barholt
B. Zjajo
B. Zjajo
J. Villemoes
J. Villemoes
R. Koch
R. Koch
J. Wielzen
J. Wielzen
A. Akale
A. Akale
J. Dakir
J. Dakir
G. Bjerge
G. Bjerge
M. Jacobsen
M. Jacobsen
E. Sogaard
E. Sogaard
C. Enemark
C. Enemark
O. Klitten
O. Klitten
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
L. Klitten
L. Klitten
S. Andreasen
🎯
S. Andreasen
R. Hauge
⚽ 2
R. Hauge
M. Bruhn
🎯
M. Bruhn
Middelfart 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Radza
28
V. Hegelund
↓ 82'
7
J. Linnet
12
L. Thomsen
2
P. Matiebel
↓ 62'
14
N. Barholt
5
B. Zjajo
↓ 62'
11
J. Villemoes
20
R. Koch
↓ 74'
18
J. Wielzen
⚽ 83'
10
A. Akale
↓ 62'
Substitutes
16
J. Hutters
77
L. Jensen
9
M. Boesen
⚽ 88' ↑ 62'
24
S. Trier
↑ 62'
25
S. Pedersen
21
E. Andersen
17
M. Greve
↑ 82'
8
M. Praest
↑ 62'
26
N. Juul-Sandberg
↑ 74'
Hobro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
J. Dakir
15
G. Bjerge
12
M. Jacobsen
18
E. Sogaard
⚽ 24'
3
C. Enemark
↓ 71'
7
O. Klitten
↓ 81'
8
M. Pedersen
27
L. Klitten
9
S. Andreasen
🎯 43' ↓ 81'
11
R. Hauge
⚽ 36' ⚽ 43' ↓ 46'
23
M. Bruhn
🎯 36' ↓ 71'
Substitutes
1
A. Sondergaard
5
M. Kannegaard
14
L. Hansen
↑ 81'
22
M. Huldahl
16
O. Meedom
↑ 81'
26
T. Hansen
↑ 46'
47
A. Bryld
37
M. Rosengreen
↑ 71'
41
H. Dahl
↑ 71'
Last matches: Hobro
24.05.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
0
W
14.05.26
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Hobro
B 93
3
3
D
01.05.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
1
1
D
26.04.26
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
1
0
W
22.04.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
6
0
W
10.04.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
0
1
L
03.04.26
1.
Hobro
B 93
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
1
0
W
14.03.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
1
0
W
06.03.26
1.
Hobro
Kolding IF
1
2
L
27.02.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Vejgaard B
2
4
L
20.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Oleksandria
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Hobro
AC Horsens
0
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Hobro
Thisted FC
2
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
Hobro
Aarhus
2
3
L
Last matches: Middelfart
23.05.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
2
4
L
16.05.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
4
L
08.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
3
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
1
2
L
22.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
5
L
18.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
6
L
10.04.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
2
5
L
21.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
1
L
13.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Lyngby
1
4
L
07.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hvidovre
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Kolding IF
1
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Vysočina Jihlava
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Corvinul Hunedoara
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Esbjerg
2
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Silkeborg
2
8
L
20.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Næsby
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
SfB-Oure
5
1
W
H2H: Hobro vs Middelfart
30.05.26
H2H
Hobro
Middelfart
3
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
Middelfart
Hobro
0
6
W
21.03.26
H2H
Middelfart
Hobro
0
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Hobro
Middelfart
0
0
D
10.09.24
H2H
Middelfart
Hobro
3
2
L
Last matches: Hobro
14.05.26
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Hobro
B 93
3
3
D
22.04.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
0
1
L
14.03.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
1
0
W
27.02.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Vejgaard B
2
4
L
20.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
30.01.26
Fri
Hobro
AC Horsens
0
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Hobro
Thisted FC
2
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
Hobro
Aarhus
2
3
L
20.11.25
1.
Hobro
Hvidovre
0
1
L
07.11.25
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
W
25.10.25
1.
Hobro
Hillerød
1
2
L
28.09.25
1.
Hobro
Kolding IF
2
2
D
11.09.25
1.
Hobro
Lyngby
1
4
L
24.08.25
1.
Hobro
Esbjerg
2
0
W
20.08.25
1.
Hobro
AC Horsens
0
1
L
08.08.25
1.
Hobro
B 93
1
4
L
H2H at home: Hobro
30.05.26
H2H
Hobro
Middelfart
3
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
Hobro
Middelfart
0
0
D
Last matches: Middelfart
08.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
3
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
1
2
L
22.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
5
L
10.04.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
2
L
13.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Lyngby
1
4
L
28.02.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Kolding IF
1
4
L
25.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Silkeborg
2
8
L
29.11.25
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
2
1
W
10.11.25
1.
Middelfart
Esbjerg
2
4
L
24.10.25
1.
Middelfart
Kolding IF
0
1
L
27.09.25
1.
Middelfart
B 93
0
1
L
14.09.25
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
0
4
L
19.08.25
1.
Middelfart
Hvidovre
2
2
D
09.08.25
1.
Middelfart
AC Horsens
0
2
L
27.07.25
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
0
D
19.07.25
1.
Middelfart
Hillerød
1
2
L
H2H away: Middelfart
30.05.26
H2H
Hobro
Middelfart
3
2
L
27.07.25
H2H
Hobro
Middelfart
0
0
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10
Hobro Home
22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round