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DENMARK › 1. DIVISION
14.05.2026 11:00
DS Arena
Referee: J. Rasmussen
Hobro
Match Timeline
Aarhus Fremad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
L. Callo · Assist: M. Agnarsson
Aarhus Fremad
⚽
56'
L. Riisgaard · Assist: K. Andersen
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
63'
M. Kirchheiner ↔ M. Ryberg
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
64'
M. Pedersen ↔ M. Haarup
Hobro
🔄
64'
R. Hauge ↔ T. Hansen
Hobro
🔄
64'
E. Sogaard ↔ M. Bruhn
Hobro
🔄
64'
S. Andreasen ↔ H. Dahl
Hobro
🔄
64'
L. Riisgaard ↔ E. Egerton
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
70'
E. Egerton
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
72'
M. Kjolby ↔ B. Rolland
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
72'
A. Pisani ↔ O. Hjaltason
Aarhus Fremad
⚽
79'
E. Egerton
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
83'
↔ M. Jacobsen
Hobro
🔄
88'
A. Holvad ↔ M. Kaastrup
Aarhus Fremad

Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hobro Win 33.8%
Draw 25.4%
Aarhus Fremad Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hobro1.23
Aarhus Fremad1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hobro Hobro
WWDLW
36 GF / 38 GA
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad
WLDWL
42 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hobro Hobro 29 matches
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 29 matches
Hobro Statistic Aarhus Fremad
9 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
11 Losses 10
36 Goals For 42
38 Goals Against 35
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
13 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Aarhus Fremad's more proactive style and Hobro's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aarhus Fremad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aarhus Fremad.

Hobro Analysis

Hobro arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 36 points after 29 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 36:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Bruhn (8 goals), S. Andreasen (7 goals), O. Klitten (5 goals), with creative support from L. Klitten (6 assists), O. Klitten (4 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aarhus Fremad Analysis

Aarhus Fremad come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 37 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, while the 42:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Andersen (12 goals), M. Kaastrup (6 goals), M. Kubel (6 goals), with creative support from M. Kubel (7 assists), M. Agnarsson (6 assists), M. Kaastrup (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Hobro won 5 times, Aarhus Fremad won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Hobro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.7%)
H2H summary: Hobro wins 5, draws 2, Aarhus Fremad wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10
Hobro Home
22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round