CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Referee: A. Culina
HNK Rijeka
Match Timeline
Vukovar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
41'
D. Adu Adjei · Assist: M. Devetak
HNK Rijeka
🟨
44'
Moreno Živković
Vukovar
50'
S. Radeljic · Assist: J. Lasickas
HNK Rijeka
🔄
55'
J. Lasickas ↔ T. Fruk
HNK Rijeka
🟨
66'
Jakov Gurlica
Vukovar
🔄
72'
A. Gojak ↔ D. Legbo
HNK Rijeka
🔄
72'
T. Dantas ↔ S. Vignato
HNK Rijeka
🟨
75'
Ante Majstorović
HNK Rijeka
🔄
76'
R. Gonzalez ↔ J. Spoljaric
Vukovar
🔄
76'
E. Shabani ↔ J. Biljan
Vukovar
🔄
76'
S. Butic ↔ D. Vinkovic
Vukovar
🔄
87'
D. Adu Adjei ↔ D. Cop
HNK Rijeka
🔄
87'
B. Pavic ↔ M. Ndockyt
HNK Rijeka
🔄
90+2'
J. Puljic ↔ N. Pajvancic
Vukovar
90'
T. Fruk · Assist: M. Devetak
HNK Rijeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HNK Rijeka Win 51.3%
Draw 21.2%
Vukovar Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Rijeka1.5
Vukovar1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WWDLW
61 GF / 53 GA
Vukovar Vukovar
WLDWL
34 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
21
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
19
3.71
Shots on Goal
2.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 49 matches
Vukovar Vukovar 33 matches
HNK Rijeka Statistic Vukovar
18 Wins 6
15 Draws 10
16 Losses 17
61 Goals For 34
53 Goals Against 62
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
21 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 27
21 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 12
18 Clean Sheets 4
17 Failed To Score 9
3.71 Shots On Goal 2.64
12.18 Total Shots 7.76
4.96 Corners 2.91
47.4% Ball Possession 35.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features HNK Rijeka's more proactive style and Vukovar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vukovar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

HNK Rijeka Analysis

HNK Rijeka arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 46 points after 33 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 44:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (7 goals), D. Adu Adjei (5 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Vukovar Analysis

Vukovar are currently 10 in the standings with 28 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses with goals at 34:62 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Puljic (15 goals), R. Gonzalez (7 goals), Lovro Banovec (3 goals), with creative support from Lovro Banovec (5 assists), R. Gonzalez (3 assists), M. Ticinovic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, HNK Rijeka won 3 times, Vukovar won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from HNK Rijeka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1 / Vukovar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HNK Rijeka wins 3, draws 0, Vukovar wins 1
Stats
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Vukovar Vukovar
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 2
1 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
465 Total passes 236
403 Passes accurate 169
2.07 expected_goals 0.44
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HNK Rijeka
Formation
Vukovar
M. Zlomislic
M. Zlomislic
A. Orec
A. Orec
A. Majstorovic
A. Majstorovic
S. Radeljic
S. Radeljic
M. Devetak
🎯
M. Devetak
B. Pavic
B. Pavic
A. Barco
A. Barco
J. Lasickas
🎯
J. Lasickas
T. Dantas
T. Dantas
A. Gojak
A. Gojak
D. Adu Adjei
D. Adu Adjei
A. Djakovic
A. Djakovic
M. Zivkovic
M. Zivkovic
N. Vlasenko
N. Vlasenko
V. Caic
V. Caic
K. Cabrajic
K. Cabrajic
E. Shabani
E. Shabani
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
S. Butic
S. Butic
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
J. Puljic
J. Puljic
HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Zlomislic
G
22
A. Orec
D
45
A. Majstorovic
🟨 75'
D
6
S. Radeljic
⚽ 50'
D
34
M. Devetak
🎯 41' 🎯 90'
D
66
B. Pavic
↓ 87'
55
A. Barco
M
23
J. Lasickas
🎯 50' ↓ 55'
M
26
T. Dantas
↓ 72'
M
14
A. Gojak
↓ 72'
M
18
D. Adu Adjei
⚽ 41' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Todorovic
G
24
D. Legbo
↑ 72'
F
9
D. Cop
↑ 87'
F
8
D. Petrovic
M
20
M. Ndockyt
↑ 87'
M
10
T. Fruk
⚽ 90' ↑ 55'
M
19
S. Vignato
↑ 72'
F
11
G. Rukavina
F
77
A. Juric
F
91
N. Bodetic
D
2
L. Kitin
D
15
G. Grulovic
F
Vukovar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
A. Djakovic
G
14
M. Zivkovic
🟨 44'
D
5
N. Vlasenko
D
13
V. Caic
D
20
K. Cabrajic
D
77
E. Shabani
↓ 76'
M
35
J. Gurlica
🟨 66'
M
27
S. Butic
↓ 76'
M
10
R. Gonzalez
↓ 76'
M
28
L. Banovec
M
21
J. Puljic
↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bulat
G
34
M. Tadic
D
39
P. Bugas
F
33
L. Klanac
F
24
J. Spoljaric
↑ 76'
M
6
J. Biljan
↑ 76'
M
4
H. Sabanovic
D
7
K. Calhanoglu
D
11
L. Kulusic
F
25
N. Pajvancic
↑ 90+2'
F
23
D. Vinkovic
↑ 76'
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
15.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
02.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
H2H: HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar
08.05.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
W
06.12.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
1
W
22.09.25
H2H
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
3
2
L
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
24.01.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
14.01.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Koper
1
2
L
21.12.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Celje
3
0
W
06.12.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
22.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
5
0
W
27.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
4
2
W
24.10.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
27.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
13.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
H2H at home: HNK Rijeka
08.05.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
1
W
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
21.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
06.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
21.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
4
L
07.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
26.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
14.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
4
L
08.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
01.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
1
L
H2H away: Vukovar
08.05.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
1
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation