Login Register
FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
18.07.2026 12:00
Bolt Arena
Referee: Joni Hyytia, Finland
HJK Helsinki
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
30'
A. Cicale ↔ T. Mero
HJK Helsinki
🟨
35'
Simon Lindholm
VPS
🟨
45'
Mouhamed Gueye
HJK Helsinki
⚽
45'
S. Haarala · Assist: L. Moller
HJK Helsinki
⚽
46'
S. Lindholm
VPS
🔄
60'
L. Moller ↔ T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
🔄
60'
M. Gueye ↔ J. Kallinen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
68'
S. Lindholm ↔ X. Odhiambo
VPS
⚽
75'
T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
🔄
76'
K. Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ A. Raisanen
VPS
🔄
79'
P. Mentu ↔ L. Lappalainen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
82'
T. Cissokho ↔ M. Bogicevic
HJK Helsinki
🔄
88'
R. Simpson ↔ M. Niemi
VPS
🔄
88'
P. Lima ↔ J. Muzinga
VPS
🟨
89'
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
HJK Helsinki
🟨
90+2'
Toivo Mero
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki vs VPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 38.8%
Draw 16.1%
VPS Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.34
VPS1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WWDLW
32 GF / 25 GA
VPS VPS
WLDWL
26 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
8
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
7
1.67
Shots on Goal
1.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 19 matches
VPS VPS 19 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic VPS
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 4
32 Goals For 26
25 Goals Against 16
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
1.67 Shots On Goal 1.87
4.67 Total Shots 4.2
1.6 Corners 1.87
21.5% Ball Possession 27.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. VPS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and VPS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 22 points after 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 25:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

VPS Analysis

VPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 22:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on L. Smyth (3 goals), with creative support from J. Muzinga (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, VPS won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:14 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-1-4-1 / VPS 3-4-3
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 8, draws 4, VPS wins 3

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L W D D L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6
VPS Away
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
D W W W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs