GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Olympiastadion
Referee: M. Bacher
Hertha BSC
Match Timeline
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
32'
Josip Brekalo
Hertha BSC
🟨
37'
Jannik Dehm
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
55'
K. Eichhorn · Assist: F. Reese
Hertha BSC
🔄
60'
P. Ziereis ↔ F. Higl
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
60'
M. Dietz ↔ S. Ltaief
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
70'
K. Eichhorn ↔ P. Klemens
Hertha BSC
🔄
70'
A. Keller ↔ J. Green
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
70'
P. Will ↔ D. Srbeny
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
72'
Marten Winkler
Hertha BSC
🟨
78'
Fabian Reese
Hertha BSC
🔄
79'
J. Dehm ↔ G. Itter
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
81'
F. Reese ↔ L. Schuler
Hertha BSC
🔄
81'
J. Eitschberger ↔ T. Leistner
Hertha BSC
84'
M. Cuisance · Assist: M. Karbownik
Hertha BSC
88'
N. Futkeu · Assist: S. Ltaief
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
89'
P. Seguin ↔ J. Dudziak
Hertha BSC
🔄
89'
M. Cuisance ↔ D. Demme
Hertha BSC
🟨
90+3'
Tjark Ernst
Hertha BSC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hertha BSC Win 57.8%
Draw 20.6%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hertha BSC1.65
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC
WWDLW
44 GF / 37 GA
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLDWL
45 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
14
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
21
4.34
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 32 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 32 matches
Hertha BSC Statistic SpVgg Greuther Fürth
13 Wins 9
9 Draws 7
10 Losses 16
44 Goals For 45
37 Goals Against 66
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
14 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 10
4.34 Shots On Goal 4.03
12.72 Total Shots 11.38
4.59 Corners 4.19
49.2% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hertha BSC's more proactive style and SpVgg Greuther Fürth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hertha BSC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hertha BSC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth having the stronger overall control. Hertha BSC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 48 points compared to SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 17 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Hertha BSC Analysis

With 48 points from 32 games and a place of 6, Hertha BSC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with a 44:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Reese (10 goals), L. Schuler (8 goals), M. Winkler (6 goals), with creative support from F. Reese (12 assists), M. Winkler (6 assists), M. Cuisance (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Analysis

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 17 with 34 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 45:66, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Futkeu (17 goals), F. Klaus (7 goals), B. Hrgota (4 goals), with creative support from B. Hrgota (9 assists), N. Futkeu (6 assists), F. Klaus (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Hertha BSC won 5 times, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Hertha BSC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.4%)
Predicted formations: Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1 / SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Hertha BSC wins 5, draws 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 2
Stats
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
12
2 Corner Kicks 18
11 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 5
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 29
5 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 14
0 Blocked Shots 12
4 Shots insidebox 19
4 Shots outsidebox 10
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
285 Total passes 520
222 Passes accurate 449
1.02 expected_goals 2.27
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Hertha BSC
Formation
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
T. Ernst
T. Ernst
J. Eitschberger
J. Eitschberger
L. Gechter
L. Gechter
N. Kolbe
N. Kolbe
M. Karbownik
🎯
M. Karbownik
K. Eichhorn
K. Eichhorn
P. Seguin
P. Seguin
J. Brekalo
J. Brekalo
M. Cuisance
M. Cuisance
F. Reese
🎯
F. Reese
M. Winkler
M. Winkler
S. Prufrock
S. Prufrock
J. Elvedi
J. Elvedi
P. Ziereis
P. Ziereis
R. Munz
R. Munz
J. Dehm
J. Dehm
M. Dietz
M. Dietz
P. Will
P. Will
A. Keller
A. Keller
F. Klaus
F. Klaus
B. Hrgota
B. Hrgota
N. Futkeu
N. Futkeu
Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Ernst
🟨 90+3'
G
2
J. Eitschberger
↓ 81'
D
44
L. Gechter
D
27
N. Kolbe
D
33
M. Karbownik
🎯 84'
D
23
K. Eichhorn
⚽ 55' ↓ 70'
M
30
P. Seguin
↓ 89'
M
7
J. Brekalo
🟥 32'
M
10
M. Cuisance
⚽ 84' ↓ 89'
M
11
F. Reese
🎯 55' ↓ 81' 🟨 78'
M
22
M. Winkler
🟨 72'
F
Substitutes
35
M. Gersbeck
G
28
J. Dudziak
↑ 89'
M
5
L. Jensen
M
18
L. Schuler
↑ 81'
F
14
M. Krattenmacher
M
41
P. Klemens
↑ 70'
D
6
D. Demme
↑ 89'
M
37
T. Leistner
↑ 81'
D
17
S. Gronning
F
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
43
S. Prufrock
G
15
J. Elvedi
D
4
P. Ziereis
↓ 60'
D
5
R. Munz
D
23
J. Dehm
↓ 79' 🟨 37'
M
33
M. Dietz
↓ 60'
M
13
P. Will
↓ 70'
M
16
A. Keller
↓ 70'
M
30
F. Klaus
F
10
B. Hrgota
F
9
N. Futkeu
⚽ 88'
F
Substitutes
26
P. Boevink
G
27
G. Itter
↑ 79'
D
28
D. Arifi
M
25
B. Bjarnason
D
14
J. Consbruch
M
37
J. Green
↑ 70'
M
7
D. Srbeny
↑ 70'
F
18
F. Higl
↑ 60'
F
47
S. Ltaief
🎯 88' ↑ 60'
F
Last matches: Hertha BSC
17.05.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
1
6
L
03.05.26
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
0
1
L
25.04.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel
0
1
L
19.04.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
11.04.26
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
04.04.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Dynamo Dresden
1
0
W
22.03.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5
2
W
14.03.26
2.
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
08.03.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
01.03.26
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
22.02.26
2.
Hertha BSC
SC Paderborn 07
2
5
L
14.02.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Hannover 96
2
3
L
07.02.26
2.
Hertha BSC
SV Elversberg
3
0
W
01.02.26
2.
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
24.01.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
17.01.26
2.
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
0
0
D
09.01.26
Fri
Hertha BSC
Standard Liege
2
3
L
19.12.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
12.12.25
2.
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3
3
D
07.12.25
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
0
2
L
Last matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
0
W
22.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
17.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
0
W
03.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
26.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
1
2
L
19.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Darmstadt 98
3
2
W
11.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
05.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
20.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
13.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
2
0
W
08.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2
1
W
28.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
20.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
2
1
W
14.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
06.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg
4
5
L
31.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
24.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
0
D
17.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
2
L
H2H: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.05.26
H2H
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
W
12.12.25
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
3
3
D
04.05.25
H2H
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
07.12.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
2
1
L
11.02.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Hertha Berlin
1
2
W
26.08.23
H2H
Hertha Berlin
SpVgg Greuther Furth
5
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Hertha Berlin
2
1
L
17.09.21
H2H
Hertha Berlin
SpVgg Greuther Furth
2
1
L
Last matches: Hertha BSC
25.04.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel
0
1
L
11.04.26
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
14.03.26
2.
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
01.03.26
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
14.02.26
2.
Hertha BSC
Hannover 96
2
3
L
01.02.26
2.
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
17.01.26
2.
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
0
0
D
09.01.26
Fri
Hertha BSC
Standard Liege
2
3
L
19.12.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
07.12.25
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
0
2
L
21.11.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
01.11.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Dynamo Dresden
2
0
W
25.10.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
0
W
04.10.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
20.09.25
2.
Hertha BSC
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
29.08.25
2.
Hertha BSC
SV Elversberg
0
2
L
10.08.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Karlsruher SC
0
0
D
18.05.25
2.
Hertha BSC
Hannover 96
1
1
D
04.05.25
2.
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
25.04.25
2.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
1
1
D
H2H at home: Hertha BSC
10.05.26
H2H
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
Last matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
22.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
26.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
1
2
L
11.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
26.03.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
20.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
08.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2
1
W
14.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
31.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
17.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
20.12.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
07.12.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
2
2
D
22.11.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Darmstadt 98
2
4
L
02.11.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
19.10.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
0
6
L
26.09.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
19.09.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
3
1
W
31.08.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg
5
4
W
09.08.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
3
L
11.05.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
1
1
D
04.05.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
H2H away: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.05.26
H2H
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
L

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga