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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
17.07.2026 11:35
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Referee: M. Ahmat
Henan Jianye
Match Timeline
Qingdao Jonoon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
Iago Maidana · Assist: Bruno Nazario
Henan Jianye
⚽
24'
Bruno Nazario · Assist: Haliq Ablahan
Henan Jianye
⚽
50'
Gustavo
Henan Jianye
🟨
56'
Maranhão
Henan Jianye
🔄
59'
Liu Junshuai ↔ Song Long
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
59'
Li Hailong ↔ Ngan Cheuk-Pan
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
60'
Bruno Nazario
Henan Jianye
🔄
64'
Haliq Ablahan ↔ A. Abudulam
Henan Jianye
🔄
64'
Zhong Yihao ↔ Osman Ekber
Henan Jianye
⚽
67'
M. Edjouma · Assist: Luo Senwen
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
70'
Gustavo · Assist: Pedro Maranhao
Henan Jianye
🔄
72'
M. Edjouma ↔ Zheng Cuanhui
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
79'
Huang Ruifeng ↔ N. Muhmet
Henan Jianye
🔄
79'
Bruno Nazario ↔ Fan Xulin
Henan Jianye
🔄
80'
Sun Zheng'ao ↔ Wang Qiao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
80'
Yang Cong ↔ Kuang Zhaolei
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
86'
Lucas Maia ↔ O. Gerbig
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Henan Jianye Win 50.6%
Draw 16%
Qingdao Jonoon Win 33.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Henan Jianye1.32
Qingdao Jonoon1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WLDWL
29 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
9
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
11
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 17 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 18 matches
Henan Jianye Statistic Qingdao Jonoon
6 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 9
18 Goals For 29
22 Goals Against 31
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
9 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.06
11.06 Total Shots 12.17
5.29 Corners 4.44
51.2% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Qingdao Jonoon. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Henan Jianye expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Qingdao Jonoon in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Jonoon having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Henan Jianye Analysis

With 15 points from 17 games and a place of 13, Henan Jianye still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 18:22 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Nazário (1 goals), with creative support from Wang Shangyuan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

Qingdao Jonoon sit 14 with 14 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 29:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Malcom Edjouma (2 goals), Song Wenjie (1 goals), Nemanja Anđelković (1 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (2 assists), Malcom Edjouma (1 assists), Yonghao Jin (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye won 4 times, Qingdao Jonoon won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Henan Jianye's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1 / Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Henan Jianye wins 4, draws 2, Qingdao Jonoon wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation