NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
03.10.2026 14:00
Haugesund Stadion
Referee: J. Haugen
Haugesund
Match Timeline
Stabaek
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
N. Naess
Stabaek
🟨
23'
D. Santos
Stabaek
🟨
39'
S. Nilsen
Haugesund
🔄
63'
A. Hoven ↔ G. Rapp
Stabaek
🟨
66'
V. Solheim
Haugesund
🔄
73'
D. Santos ↔ M. Dahlby
Stabaek
🔄
73'
J. Hanstad ↔ G. Vetti
Stabaek
🟨
73'
G. Vetti
Stabaek
⚽
74'
N. Sandberg
Haugesund
🔄
76'
E. Andersen ↔ E. Rohd
Haugesund
🔄
82'
B. Leite ↔ P. Hannola
Haugesund
🔄
86'
F. Riise ↔ O. Veum
Stabaek
🔄
90+1'
L. Remmem ↔ R. Schifferl
Haugesund
🔄
90+1'
N. Sandberg ↔ A. Grindhaug
Haugesund
⚽
90+2'
E. Rohd
Haugesund

Haugesund vs Stabaek Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
1.75 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.28 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.24 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.07 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Haugesund Win 58%
Draw 3.5%
Stabaek Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haugesund2.25
Stabaek2.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haugesund Haugesund
WWDLW
95 GF / 60 GA
Stabaek Stabaek
WLDWL
79 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
2.88
Average Goals Scored
2.39
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
23
BTTS Yes
20
26
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haugesund Haugesund 33 matches
Stabaek Stabaek 33 matches
Haugesund Statistic Stabaek
20 Wins 20
4 Draws 4
9 Losses 9
95 Goals For 79
60 Goals Against 43
2.88 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
23 BTTS Yes 20
33 Over 1.5 30
26 Over 2.5 24
22 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 11
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Haugesund come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stabaek. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stabaek having the stronger overall control.

Haugesund Analysis

Haugesund come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 52 points after 23 matches. With 17 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 72:39, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Stabaek Analysis

With 45 points from 23 games and a place of 4, Stabaek still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 57:29, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Haugesund won 4 times, Stabaek won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Haugesund's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Haugesund wins 4, draws 2, Stabaek wins 7

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 1 5 74:39 35 55
W W W W W
2 24 16 5 3 70:35 35 53
W W D W D
3 24 15 6 3 61:31 30 51
W W W D W
4 24 14 3 7 57:31 26 45
L W L L L
5 24 11 6 7 50:38 12 39
W W L D W
6 24 12 2 10 33:31 2 38
W W W L L
7 24 10 4 10 40:48 -8 34
L L L D W
8 24 9 4 11 61:58 3 31
W W D D L
9 24 8 5 11 36:49 -13 29
L L D D D
10 24 8 4 12 39:49 -10 28
L L W D D
11 24 7 5 12 38:55 -17 26
D L D W W
12 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D L L D W
13 24 7 4 13 38:54 -16 25
L W L W L
14 23 6 5 12 38:53 -15 23
L D L L D
15 24 5 5 14 34:53 -19 20
L L D D D
16 23 6 1 16 26:61 -35 19
L W L L L
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