Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
64%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
52%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.5%
|
- |
Hartlepool
Southend
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hartlepool
47 matches
Southend
51 matches
| Hartlepool | Statistic | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 28 |
| 15 | Draws | 12 |
| 15 | Losses | 11 |
| 52 | Goals For | 95 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Southend's more proactive style and Hartlepool's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control. Southend look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Hartlepool are currently 9 in the standings with 65 points from 44 matches. The record of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 47:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Reid (11 goals), A. Campbell (5 goals), J. Francis (4 goals), with creative support from M. Daly (5 assists), J. Francis (4 assists), J. Miley (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Southend sit 6 with 78 points after 44 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 70:40 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Dallas (16 goals), G. Scott-Morriss (15 goals), S. Spasov (7 goals), with creative support from H. Boyes (9 assists), O. Coker (7 assists), S. Austin (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Hartlepool won 2 times, Southend won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Hartlepool's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.
Lineups
Hartlepool
Boston United
Hartlepool
Forest Green
Hartlepool
Boreham Wood
Hartlepool
Rochdale
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
Hartlepool
Morecambe
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
Hartlepool
Truro City
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
Hartlepool
York
Hartlepool
Tamworth
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
Hartlepool
Brackley Town
Hartlepool
Gateshead
Hartlepool
Altrincham
Hartlepool
Woking
Southend
Wealdstone
Southend
Scunthorpe
Southend
Wealdstone
Southend
FC Halifax Town
Southend
Aldershot Town
Southend
Solihull Moors
Southend
Sutton Utd
Southend
Braintree
Southend
Yeovil Town
Southend
Southport
Southend
Woking
Southend
Altrincham
Southend
Rochdale
Southend
Forest Green
Southend
Gateshead
Southend
Carlisle
Southend
Truro City
Southend
Horsham
Southend
Boreham Wood
Southend
Brackley Town
Hartlepool
Forest Green
Hartlepool
Rochdale
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
Hartlepool
Gateshead
Hartlepool
Altrincham
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
Anstey Nomads
Hartlepool
Yeovil Town
Hartlepool
Truro City
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
Hartlepool
Morecambe
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
Hartlepool
Gainsborough Trinity
Hartlepool
York
Hartlepool
Tamworth
Hartlepool
Brackley Town
Southend
Scunthorpe
Southend
FC Halifax Town
Southend
Aldershot Town
Southend
Sutton Utd
Southend
Southport
Southend
Altrincham
Southend
Carlisle
Southend
Horsham
Southend
Brackley Town
Southend
Scunthorpe
Southend
Chatham Town
Southend
Rochdale
Southend
Boston United
Southend
York
Southend
Bath City
Southend
Braintree
Southend
Tamworth
Southend
Forest Green
Southend
Yeovil Town
Southend
Woking
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Southend
Away
|
46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Hartlepool
Home
|
46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|