ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
10.10.2026 17:00
Sammy Ofer Stadium

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hapoel Haifa Win 61.5%
Draw 13.2%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hapoel Haifa1.63
Maccabi Petah Tikva1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa
WWDLW
10 GF / 7 GA
Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva
WLDWL
8 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
3.8
Shots on Goal
6.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 8 matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 matches
Hapoel Haifa Statistic Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 Wins 2
5 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
10 Goals For 8
7 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
3.8 Shots On Goal 6.6
12.2 Total Shots 17.2
3 Corners 6
44.4% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Hapoel Haifa's more proactive style and Maccabi Petah Tikva's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maccabi Petah Tikva. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hapoel Haifa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Maccabi Petah Tikva in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Maccabi Petah Tikva having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Maccabi Petah Tikva arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Hapoel Haifa Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Hapoel Haifa have collected 6 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Turgeman (2 goals), L. Rotman (1 goals), N. Sabag (1 goals), with creative support from L. Rotman (2 assists), A. Mendy (2 assists), A. Turgeman (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Maccabi Petah Tikva Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 8, Maccabi Petah Tikva still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Cortés (2 goals), L. Hazan (1 goals), Y. Koren (1 goals), with creative support from J. Cortés (1 assists), L. Hazan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Haifa won 4 times, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Hapoel Haifa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1 / Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-4-2
H2H summary: Hapoel Haifa wins 4, draws 6, Maccabi Petah Tikva wins 5

Standings

Ligat Al
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 18:6 12 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 12:7 5 12
W W W L W
3 5 3 1 1 11:4 7 10
W L W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
5 5 3 0 2 7:9 -2 9
W W W L L
6 5 2 1 2 12:12 0 7
W D W L L
7 5 1 3 1 7:6 1 6
L W D D D
8 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L L L W W
9 5 1 2 2 6:6 0 5
L L D W D
10 5 1 1 3 3:6 -3 4
W L L L D
11 5 1 0 4 4:9 -5 3
L W L L L
12 5 1 0 4 5:11 -6 3
L L L W L
13 5 1 0 4 2:8 -6 3
L L L W L
14 5 2 1 2 7:8 -1 1
L D W L W
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)