11.10.2026 13:30
Tony Bezzina Stadium

Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hamrun Spartans Win 65.8%
Draw 6.2%
Hibernians Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamrun Spartans1.43
Hibernians0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Hibernians Hibernians
WLDWL
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 8 matches
Hibernians Hibernians 6 matches
Hamrun Spartans Statistic Hibernians
3 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
11 Goals For 4
9 Goals Against 9
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hamrun Spartans's more proactive style and Hibernians's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hibernians. Hamrun Spartans arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Hibernians in 10 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Hibernians arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hibernians having the stronger overall control.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

Hamrun Spartans approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 10 points after 6 outings. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 9:6, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Hibernians Analysis

Hibernians sit 10 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 4:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun Spartans won 8 times, Hibernians won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from Hamrun Spartans's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: Hamrun Spartans wins 8, draws 2, Hibernians wins 5

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 16:7 9 13
W L W D W
2 6 4 1 1 15:6 9 13
W D W L W
3 6 3 2 1 11:9 2 11
L W D W W
4 6 3 1 2 9:4 5 10
W D L L W
5 6 3 1 2 9:6 3 10
W W W D L
6 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
L D W W W
7 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
D W W W L
8 6 2 3 1 9:6 3 9
D D W W L
9 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
L D L D W
10 6 1 2 3 4:9 -5 5
L D L D L
11 5 0 1 4 2:13 -11 1
D L L L L
12 6 0 0 6 1:14 -13 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)