NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Briskeby Arena
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Ham-Kam
Match Timeline
Valerenga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
H. Udahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
26'
A. Ekeroth ↔ V. Jonsson
Ham-Kam
🟨
28'
Magnus Westergaard
Valerenga
🔄
46'
A. Trondsen ↔ L. Mettler
Ham-Kam
🟨
50'
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Valerenga
🔄
65'
V. Hedenstad ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
65'
L. Haren ↔ E. Sorensen
Valerenga
🔄
68'
A. Potur ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
🟨
72'
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Valerenga
🟨
74'
Henrik Bjørdal
Valerenga
🔄
75'
M. Westergaard ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
75'
H. Bjordal ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
🔄
82'
I. Hoffmann ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
82'
F. Sjolstad ↔ I. Kukleci
Ham-Kam
🔄
86'
A. Olsen ↔ K. Tshiembe
Valerenga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 69.3%
Draw 0%
Valerenga Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.71
Valerenga1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Valerenga Valerenga
WLDWL
26 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 13 matches
Valerenga Valerenga 14 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Valerenga
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
24 Goals For 26
20 Goals Against 21
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.86
11 Total Shots 14.29
4.5 Corners 7.71
45.3% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ham-Kam expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Valerenga arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valerenga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ham-Kam Analysis

So far, Ham-Kam have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 10 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Udahl (4 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), E. Amundsen-Day (1 goals), with creative support from V. Jonsson (2 assists), L. Mettler (1 assists), Aksel Baran Potur (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Mares unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 11 with 8 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), with creative support from M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), K. Finnsson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Ofkir, O. Saeter unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 3 times, Valerenga won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Valerenga 4-4-2
Missing players: Ham-Kam 1, Valerenga 2
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 3, draws 4, Valerenga wins 2
Stats
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
Valerenga Valerenga
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
6
1 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 0
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 9
0 Blocked Shots 6
3 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
350 Total passes 621
264 Passes accurate 518
0.58 expected_goals 1.53
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ham-Kam
Formation
Valerenga
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann
M. Gjone
M. Gjone
F. Sjolstad
F. Sjolstad
E. Amundsen-Day
E. Amundsen-Day
A. Ekeroth
A. Ekeroth
P. Metcalfe
P. Metcalfe
A. Trondsen
A. Trondsen
A. Potur
A. Potur
M. Niang
M. Niang
H. Udahl
H. Udahl
O. Hedvall
O. Hedvall
V. Hedenstad
V. Hedenstad
A. Olsen
A. Olsen
I. Nasberg
I. Nasberg
K. Finnsson
K. Finnsson
L. Haren
L. Haren
M. Westergaard
M. Westergaard
C. Lange
C. Lange
F. Thorvaldsen
F. Thorvaldsen
H. Bjordal
H. Bjordal
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern
Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
M. Sandberg
G
24
I. Hoffmann
↓ 82'
D
2
M. Gjone
D
23
F. Sjolstad
↓ 82'
D
3
E. Amundsen-Day
D
5
A. Ekeroth
↓ 26'
D
26
P. Metcalfe
M
16
A. Trondsen
↓ 46'
M
17
A. Potur
↓ 68'
M
29
M. Niang
F
19
H. Udahl
⚽ 7'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Ostraat
G
7
V. Jonsson
↑ 26'
M
22
S. Nilsen
↑ 82'
D
15
I. Kukleci
↑ 82'
D
10
L. Mettler
↑ 46'
M
20
J. Gonstad
F
8
M. Johnsgard
↑ 68'
M
4
H. Opsahl
D
6
W. Osnes-Ringen
M
Valerenga 4-4-2 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
O. Hedvall
G
6
V. Hedenstad
↓ 65'
D
4
A. Olsen
↓ 86' 🟨 50'
D
37
I. Nasberg
D
2
K. Finnsson
🟨 72'
D
77
L. Haren
↓ 65'
M
28
M. Westergaard
↓ 75' 🟨 28'
M
10
C. Lange
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
M
8
H. Bjordal
↓ 75' 🟨 74'
F
17
M. Grundetjern
F
Substitutes
21
M. Sjoeng
G
29
F. Ambina
↑ 75'
M
3
H. Sjatil
D
9
G. Rajkovic
F
24
P. Strand
↑ 65'
M
11
E. Sorensen
↑ 65'
F
55
S. Jarl
D
5
K. Tshiembe
↑ 86'
D
15
O. T. Holm
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Ham-Kam
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
1
L
Last matches: Valerenga
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Rosenborg
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Sandefjord
5
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
H2H: Ham-Kam vs Valerenga
08.05.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
19.10.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
2
1
W
16.05.25
H2H
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
08.05.24
H2H
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
26.11.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
0
2
L
16.05.23
H2H
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
3
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
1
D
16.05.22
H2H
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
18.03.22
H2H
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
1
3
W
Last matches: Ham-Kam
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ham-Kam
08.05.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
19.10.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
2
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
1
D
Last matches: Valerenga
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Rosenborg
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
H2H away: Valerenga
08.05.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
L
19.10.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
2
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
0
2
W
14.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
1
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Ham-Kam 1 missing
-
L. Mares
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
Valerenga 2 missing
-
M. Ofkir
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Saeter
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT