NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Briskeby Arena
Referee: M. Grotta
Ham-Kam
Match Timeline
Lillestrom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
A. Potur
Ham-Kam
🟨
47'
Ian Hoffmann
Ham-Kam
🔄
61'
Felix Va ↔ K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
🔄
61'
C. Jebara ↔ L. Alperud
Lillestrom
🔄
66'
Y. Paintsil ↔ F. Elkaer
Lillestrom
🔄
66'
G. Nyheim ↔ K. Krygard
Lillestrom
🔄
69'
H. Udahl ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
🔄
69'
A. Trondsen ↔ W. Osnes-Ringen
Ham-Kam
🟨
70'
Patrick Metcalfe
Ham-Kam
🔄
79'
I. Hoffmann ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
79'
F. Sjolstad ↔ I. Kukleci
Ham-Kam
83'
A. Potur · Assist: M. Gjone
Ham-Kam
🔄
84'
Y. Ibrahimaj ↔ M. Waehler
Lillestrom
🔄
86'
M. Niang ↔ J. Gonstad
Ham-Kam

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 59.1%
Draw 0%
Lillestrom Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.6
Lillestrom1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
26 GF / 22 GA
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WLDWL
42 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
2.1
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
9
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
12
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 15 matches
Lillestrom Lillestrom 20 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Lillestrom
7 Wins 9
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 7
26 Goals For 42
22 Goals Against 28
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
9 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 5
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.7
11.13 Total Shots 13.1
4.38 Corners 5.1
45.9% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Lillestrom's more proactive style and Ham-Kam's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ham-Kam expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Lillestrom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lillestrom having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lillestrom. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ham-Kam Analysis

So far, Ham-Kam have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:14 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Udahl (5 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), Anders Trondsen (1 goals), with creative support from V. Jonsson (2 assists), L. Mettler (1 assists), M. Gjone (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 19 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 16:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Karlsbakk (4 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Va (4 assists), T. Olsen (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 3 times, Lillestrom won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Ham-Kam 2, Lillestrom 5
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 3, draws 4, Lillestrom wins 7
Stats
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
9
4 Corner Kicks 9
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 9
10 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 7
370 Total passes 554
301 Passes accurate 483
1.29 expected_goals 1.59
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ham-Kam
Formation
Lillestrom
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg
V. Jonsson
V. Jonsson
M. Gjone
🎯
M. Gjone
F. Sjolstad
F. Sjolstad
E. Amundsen-Day
E. Amundsen-Day
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann
P. Metcalfe
P. Metcalfe
A. Trondsen
A. Trondsen
A. Potur
⚽ 2
A. Potur
M. Niang
M. Niang
H. Udahl
H. Udahl
P. Dahlberg
P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
L. Ranger
S. Foss
S. Foss
R. Gabrielsen
R. Gabrielsen
Y. Paintsil
Y. Paintsil
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj
C. Jebara
C. Jebara
M. Karlsbakk
M. Karlsbakk
G. Nyheim
G. Nyheim
S. Drammeh
S. Drammeh
Felix Va
Felix Va
Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
M. Sandberg
G
7
V. Jonsson
D
2
M. Gjone
🎯 83'
D
23
F. Sjolstad
↓ 79'
D
3
E. Amundsen-Day
D
24
I. Hoffmann
↓ 79' 🟨 47'
D
26
P. Metcalfe
🟨 70'
M
16
A. Trondsen
↓ 69'
M
17
A. Potur
⚽ 26' ⚽ 83'
M
29
M. Niang
↓ 86'
F
19
H. Udahl
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Ostraat
G
22
S. Nilsen
↑ 79'
D
15
I. Kukleci
↑ 79'
D
10
L. Mettler
M
20
J. Gonstad
↑ 86'
F
28
D. Benjamin
F
8
M. Johnsgard
↑ 69'
M
4
H. Opsahl
D
6
W. Osnes-Ringen
↑ 69'
M
Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
P. Dahlberg
G
2
L. Ranger
D
5
S. Foss
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
26
Y. Paintsil
↓ 66'
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
↓ 84'
M
19
C. Jebara
↓ 61'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
M
14
G. Nyheim
↓ 66'
M
15
S. Drammeh
M
20
Felix Va
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Hagerup
G
22
J. Kitolano
D
23
U. Jenssen
D
11
F. Elkaer
↑ 66'
D
9
K. Arierhi
↑ 61'
F
27
M. Waehler
↑ 84'
F
18
K. Krygard
↑ 66'
M
3
S. Ottesen
D
7
L. Alperud
↑ 61'
M
Last matches: Ham-Kam
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
1
L
Last matches: Lillestrom
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
H2H: Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom
25.05.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
07.03.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
2
L
30.01.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
5
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
3
1
L
29.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
0
D
10.02.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
3
2
L
13.11.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
3
1
L
12.06.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
1
W
02.04.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
2
D
03.06.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
5
0
L
06.12.20
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
1
1
D
07.07.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
2
0
L
Last matches: Ham-Kam
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ham-Kam
25.05.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
07.03.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
5
0
W
29.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
0
D
02.04.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
1
1
D
Last matches: Lillestrom
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
H2H away: Lillestrom
25.05.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
L
07.03.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
5
0
L
29.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
0
D
02.04.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
1
1
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Ham-Kam 2 missing
-
L. Mares
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
A. Ekeroth
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Lillestrom 5 missing
-
E. B. Garnas
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
E. Kitolano
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
T. Olsen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
U. Jenssen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
H. Woxen
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT