FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.4%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.4%
1.28
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.45
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Haka Win 86.4%
Draw 5.5%
SJK Akatemia Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haka1.69
SJK Akatemia0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haka Haka
WWDLW
49 GF / 25 GA
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WLDWL
10 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
16
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haka Haka 26 matches
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 20 matches
Haka Statistic SJK Akatemia
15 Wins 2
7 Draws 6
4 Losses 12
49 Goals For 10
25 Goals Against 28
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
16 BTTS Yes 6
22 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Haka's more proactive style and SJK Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Haka come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SJK Akatemia. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SJK Akatemia having the stronger overall control. Haka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 34 points compared to SJK Akatemia in 10 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Haka Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 34 points from 18 games, Haka bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:19, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia are currently 10 in the standings with 9 points from 18 matches. The record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 8:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Haka won 2 times, SJK Akatemia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Haka's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Haka wins 2, draws 0, SJK Akatemia wins 1
Last matches: Haka
14.08.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
2
1
W
07.08.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
3
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
Haka
PK-35
4
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
3
1
W
17.07.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
08.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
2
0
W
05.06.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Haka
PK-35
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Haka
VPS
1
1
D
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
15.08.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
1
0
W
08.08.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
PK-35
0
3
L
31.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
0
D
17.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
1
D
03.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
PK-35
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
H2H: Haka vs SJK Akatemia
15.06.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
2
W
22.05.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
1
W
31.01.26
H2H
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
2
L
Last matches: Haka
07.08.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
3
0
W
25.07.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
3
1
W
27.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
0
2
L
05.06.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Haka
TPV
3
1
W
H2H at home: Haka
31.01.26
H2H
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
2
L
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
15.08.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
1
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
03.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
H2H away: SJK Akatemia
31.01.26
H2H
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.92
Draw 5.73
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.13
Draw 2.93
Home 1.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.45
Over 2.75 1.55
Over 3.0 1.70
Over 3.25 1.93
Over 3.5 2.16
Over 3.75 2.47
Over 4.5 3.65
Over 5.5 6.05
Under 1.5 5.45
Under 2.5 2.68
Under 2.75 2.41
Under 3.0 2.14
Under 3.25 1.86
Under 3.5 1.69
Under 3.75 1.53
Under 4.5 1.27
Under 5.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 5.25
Home 1.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.10
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.05
Draw 5.15
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.84
Draw 2.67
Home 1.71
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.51
Draw 3.26
Home 1.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.25
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 2.75 1.45
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.82
Over 3.5 2.02
Over 3.75 2.21
Over 4.0 2.62
Over 4.25 2.92
Over 4.5 3.20
Over 4.75 3.88
Over 5.0 5.10
Over 5.25 5.40
Over 5.5 5.70
Over 6.0 9.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 5.60
Under 1.75 5.15
Under 2.0 4.70
Under 2.25 3.28
Under 2.5 2.66
Under 2.75 2.41
Under 3.0 2.14
Under 3.25 1.88
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 3.75 1.53
Under 4.0 1.38
Under 4.25 1.31
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 4.75
Home 1.29
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.80
Home 1.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 3.5 1.94
Over 4.5 3.10
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 4.5 1.28

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2 19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3
Haka Home
19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4 20 9 7 4 27:17 10 34
W L L W D
5 19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6 19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8 20 4 4 12 21:35 -14 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen