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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
19.09.2026 12:00
Stade de Roudourou
Referee: Eddy Rosier
Guingamp
Match Timeline
RED Star FC 93
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Erwin Koffi
Guingamp
🟥
12'
Donacien Gomis
Guingamp
🔄
15'
Tom Ducrocq ↔ Albin Demouchy
Guingamp
⚽
24'
Damien Durand · Assist: Islamdine Halifa
RED Star FC 93
🟨
29'
Jeovanni Dianganga
Guingamp
⚽
38'
Jovany Ikanga A Ngele · Assist: Islamdine Halifa
RED Star FC 93
🔄
45'
Tuomas Ollila ↔ V. Muntu Wa Mungu
Guingamp
🔄
45'
Teddy Andami Averlant ↔ Stanislas Kielt
Guingamp
🔄
45'
Tanguy Ahile ↔ Jasser Chamakh
Guingamp
🟨
50'
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
RED Star FC 93
🔄
62'
Godson Kyeremeh ↔ Kémo Cissé
RED Star FC 93
🔄
62'
Islamdine Halifa ↔ Mahamadou Diawara
RED Star FC 93
🔄
62'
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui ↔ Samuel Renel
RED Star FC 93
🔄
66'
Jeovanni Dianganga ↔ Amadou Samoura
Guingamp
⚽
67'
Erwin Koffi · Assist: V. Muntu Wa Mungu
Guingamp
⚽
69'
Damien Durand · Assist: Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
RED Star FC 93
🔄
70'
Jovany Ikanga A Ngele ↔ Kevin Cabral
RED Star FC 93
🟨
72'
Bradley Danger
RED Star FC 93
🔄
79'
Bradley Danger ↔ Idrissa Sabaly
RED Star FC 93
🟨
81'
Dylan Durivaux
RED Star FC 93

Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds 2.90
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.5%
2.90 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.37 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Guingamp Win 28.4%
Draw 5.2%
RED Star FC 93 Win 66.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guingamp1.27
RED Star FC 931.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guingamp Guingamp
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93
WLDWL
17 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
6.17
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guingamp Guingamp 12 matches
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 13 matches
Guingamp Statistic RED Star FC 93
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
15 Goals For 17
19 Goals Against 17
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
6.17 Shots On Goal 5
14.83 Total Shots 14.17
4 Corners 7.5
54.2% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guingamp expected to line up in 4-4-2 and RED Star FC 93 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward RED Star FC 93 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward RED Star FC 93. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. RED Star FC 93 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 8 points while Guingamp sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Guingamp Analysis

So far, Guingamp have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 5 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Kielt (2 goals), D. Gomis (2 goals), A. Demouchy (1 goals), with creative support from T. Averlant (2 assists), E. Koffi (1 assists), Amine Hemia (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

RED Star FC 93 Analysis

From their first 5 matches, RED Star FC 93 have collected 8 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Durand (2 goals), K. Cabral (1 goals), S. Khaoui (1 goals), with creative support from K. Cabral (2 assists), S. Khaoui (1 assists), E. Zidane (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Guingamp won 1 times, RED Star FC 93 won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from Guingamp's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Guingamp 4-4-2 / RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guingamp wins 1, draws 0, RED Star FC 93 wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 19:8 11 16
D L W W W
2 7 4 2 1 9:7 2 14
W W W L D
3 7 3 4 0 15:9 6 13
D W D W W
4 7 3 3 1 6:5 1 12
D W L D W
5 7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D L W D D
6 7 3 1 3 8:7 1 10
W L L W W
7 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L L W D L
8 7 2 4 1 4:5 -1 10
D W D D W
9 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W W D L D
10 7 2 2 3 6:6 0 8
W L D D L
11 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
L W D D L
12 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
L W D L L
13 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D W L W L
14 7 2 1 4 14:16 -2 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
W L W D L
16 7 0 6 1 4:6 -2 6
D D D D D
17 7 0 5 2 3:5 -2 5
L D D D D
18 7 1 2 4 8:14 -6 5
D L L L D
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3