BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Guaporé
Match Timeline
Monte Roraima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
Patrick Felipe
Guaporé
45'
Patrick Felipe
Guaporé

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guaporé Win 67.4%
Draw 3.8%
Monte Roraima Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guaporé1.73
Monte Roraima1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guaporé Guaporé
WWDLW
21 GF / 12 GA
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima
WLDWL
14 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guaporé Guaporé 11 matches
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 11 matches
Guaporé Statistic Monte Roraima
6 Wins 3
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 4
21 Goals For 14
12 Goals Against 16
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Guaporé's more proactive style and Monte Roraima's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Monte Roraima have the edge after taking the first leg 3-2, leaving Guaporé needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monte Roraima having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Monte Roraima. Guaporé arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 22 points compared to Monte Roraima in 4 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guaporé Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Guaporé arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 22 points after 10 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats with goals at 19:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Gabriel (4 goals), Watthimen (4 goals), L. Pessoa (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Monte Roraima Analysis

Monte Roraima enter this tie with a season profile built on 10 points from 10 matches, placing them 4 in their league. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with goals at 11:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Luquinhas (4 goals), Matheus Taumaturgo (3 goals), Xandy (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guaporé won 1 times, Monte Roraima won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Guaporé's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Guaporé wins 1, draws 0, Monte Roraima wins 1
Last matches: Guaporé
12.07.26
Ser
Guaporé
Luverdense
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Guaporé
Luverdense
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
Last matches: Monte Roraima
20.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
3
2
W
14.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
0
1
L
H2H: Guaporé vs Monte Roraima
28.06.26
H2H
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
0
W
20.06.26
H2H
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
3
2
L
Last matches: Guaporé
12.07.26
Ser
Guaporé
Luverdense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
H2H at home: Guaporé
28.06.26
H2H
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
0
W
Last matches: Monte Roraima
14.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
2
L
H2H away: Monte Roraima
28.06.26
H2H
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
0
L