Guadalajara Chivas
Match Timeline
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Guadalajara Chivas Win 76.2%
Draw 7.7%
Toluca Win 16.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guadalajara Chivas0.73
Toluca1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guadalajara Chivas
WWDLW
1 GF / 0 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
22 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
2.44
0
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
0
BTTS Yes
5
0
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
7.14
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guadalajara Chivas
3 matches
Toluca
9 matches
| Guadalajara Chivas | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 3 |
| 1 | Goals For | 22 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.44 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 0 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 7.14 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 18.71 |
| 0 | Corners | 4.14 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 58.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 3 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Guadalajara Chivas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guadalajara Chivas wins 3, draws 7, Toluca wins 5
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
Away
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 20 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Home
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | -18 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)