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05.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Referee: C. Terrazas
Guabirá
Match Timeline
Real Tomayapo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
L. Ursino
Guabirá
🟨
28'
Pablo Melgar
Guabirá
🟨
31'
L. S. Montenegro
Real Tomayapo
🟨
34'
Ruan Costa
Real Tomayapo
🟨
40'
R. Eguez
Real Tomayapo
⚽
44'
G. Peredo
Guabirá
🔄
46'
L. S. Montenegro ↔ R. Cuellar Orti
Real Tomayapo
🟥
58'
V. Galvez
Real Tomayapo
🟥
58'
L. S. Montenegro
Real Tomayapo
🟥
63'
J. Ribera
Real Tomayapo
🔄
66'
V. Abrego ↔ S. Gil
Guabirá
🔄
66'
Pablo Melgar ↔ Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🔄
67'
F. Nouet ↔ V. Melgar
Real Tomayapo
🔄
67'
Ruan Costa ↔ Robson
Real Tomayapo
⚽
68'
S. Garzon
Guabirá
🔄
70'
Rafinha ↔ A. Moreno
Guabirá
🔄
70'
L. Ursino ↔ Pedro
Guabirá
⚽
74'
Pedro · Assist: Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🔄
82'
G. Peredo ↔ M. Tellez
Guabirá
🔄
82'
R. Eguez ↔ A. Cervantes
Real Tomayapo
🔄
82'
D. Ramallo ↔ J. Senzano
Real Tomayapo
🟨
90+4'
M. Tellez
Guabirá

Guabirá vs Real Tomayapo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Guabirá Win 87.8%
Draw 6.1%
Real Tomayapo Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guabirá1.96
Real Tomayapo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guabirá Guabirá
WWDLW
23 GF / 32 GA
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
WLDWL
11 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
0.79
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
2.43
10
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
8
1.58
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guabirá Guabirá 14 matches
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 14 matches
Guabirá Statistic Real Tomayapo
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
23 Goals For 11
32 Goals Against 34
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 2.43
10 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
1.58 Shots On Goal 1.67
5.17 Total Shots 5.08
1.58 Corners 1.92
15.8% Ball Possession 23.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Tomayapo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Tomayapo having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Real Tomayapo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guabirá Analysis

Guabirá are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Tomayapo Analysis

Real Tomayapo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 8:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá won 6 times, Real Tomayapo won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Guabirá's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Guabirá 4-2-3-1 / Real Tomayapo 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Guabirá wins 6, draws 2, Real Tomayapo wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
5 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 21 7 3 11 35:51 -16 24
W L L W D
12 21 6 3 12 21:40 -19 21
D W L L L
13 21 6 2 13 31:46 -15 20
L L L W L
14 21 5 3 13 27:42 -15 18
L D W L W
15 21 4 5 12 15:39 -24 17
D L L L W
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D