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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
19.09.2026 14:00
Blundell Park
Grimsby
Match Timeline
Crawley Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Charles Vernam
Grimsby
🟨
29'
Nicholas Michalski
Crawley Town
⚽
30'
I. Morgan
Grimsby
🟨
39'
Priestley Farquharson
Crawley Town
⚽
42'
K. Green · Assist: I. Morgan
Grimsby
🟨
48'
Maldini Kacurri
Grimsby
🔄
55'
M. Shelton ↔ J. Walker
Grimsby
🔄
56'
O. Kamara ↔ O. Aderoju
Crawley Town
🟨
58'
Ade Adeyemo
Crawley Town
🟨
65'
Géza Dávid Turi
Grimsby
🔄
68'
T. Ewens-Findlay ↔ L. Watson
Crawley Town
🔄
68'
A. Adeyemo ↔ D. Pereira
Crawley Town
🔄
70'
F. Cartwright ↔ R. Reynolds
Grimsby
🔄
70'
I. Morgan ↔ S. Finch
Grimsby
🔄
85'
D. Morgan ↔ N. Tinsdale
Crawley Town
🔄
85'
D. Orsi-Dadomo ↔ M. Ebiowei
Crawley Town
🟨
87'
Malcolm Ebiowei
Crawley Town
🔄
89'
C. Vernam ↔ J. Foulkes
Grimsby
🔄
89'
K. Green ↔ C. Doyle
Grimsby

Grimsby vs Crawley Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.7%
1.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.45 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
2.00 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Grimsby Win 67.7%
Draw 3.8%
Crawley Town Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grimsby1.73
Crawley Town0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grimsby Grimsby
WWDLW
23 GF / 10 GA
Crawley Town Crawley Town
WLDWL
8 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
0.89
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
4.17
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grimsby Grimsby 13 matches
Crawley Town Crawley Town 9 matches
Grimsby Statistic Crawley Town
6 Wins 2
7 Draws 1
0 Losses 6
23 Goals For 8
10 Goals Against 15
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
4.17 Shots On Goal 3.67
14.67 Total Shots 14.17
7.17 Corners 4.17
54% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Grimsby's more proactive style and Crawley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Grimsby arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 7 points compared to Crawley Town in 21 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Grimsby expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Crawley Town in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crawley Town having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Crawley Town. Crawley Town arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Grimsby Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Grimsby have collected 7 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Green (1 goals), A. Cook (1 goals), Cian Doyle (1 goals), with creative support from K. Green (1 assists), G. Turi (1 assists), H. Rodgers (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Crawley Town Analysis

Crawley Town sit 21 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Aderoju (2 goals), L. Watson (1 goals), D. Orsi (1 goals), with creative support from K. Gordon (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Grimsby won 6 times, Crawley Town won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Grimsby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Grimsby 4-1-4-1 / Crawley Town 4-4-2
H2H summary: Grimsby wins 6, draws 4, Crawley Town wins 5

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:10 3 16
W W W D W
2 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
3 9 3 6 0 11:7 4 15
W D D D D
4 9 4 3 2 16:14 2 15
L W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 14:14 0 15
L W L L W
6 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
7 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
8 9 4 2 3 15:12 3 14
W L W W D
9 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 13
L L W W D
10 9 3 4 2 11:9 2 13
D L W W W
11 9 4 1 4 10:11 -1 13
W W W D L
12 9 2 5 2 12:12 0 11
L D D L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:13 -4 11
L D L L W
14 9 3 2 4 9:14 -5 11
W D D W L
15 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
D W D D L
16 9 2 4 3 13:14 -1 10
W D D L W
17 9 2 4 3 11:12 -1 10
L D W D L
18 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
L L L D W
19 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
20 9 2 3 4 5:6 -1 9
W L D L D
21 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League