FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade des Alpes
Referee: B. Roffet
Grenoble
Match Timeline
Le Mans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Harold Voyer
Le Mans
35'
J. Benet
Grenoble
39'
E. Colas · Assist: A. Rabillard
Le Mans
🟨
51'
Lucas Bernadou
Grenoble
🟨
58'
Ugo Bonnet
Grenoble
🔄
58'
A. Rabillard ↔ D. Gueye
Le Mans
🔄
59'
H. Voyer ↔ I. Cossier
Le Mans
🔄
59'
E. Quarshie ↔ M. Robin
Le Mans
🔄
64'
E. Maurin ↔ A. L. N'Gatta
Grenoble
🔄
70'
E. Colas ↔ W. Harhouz
Le Mans
🔄
73'
U. Bonnet ↔ M. Djitte
Grenoble
🔄
74'
B. Mouazan ↔ S. Diba
Grenoble
🔄
74'
↔ A. Lauray
Le Mans
🔄
81'
Y. Diaby ↔ N. Zahui
Grenoble
🟨
87'
Moussa Djitté
Grenoble

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Grenoble Win 23.9%
Draw 17.9%
Le Mans Win 58.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grenoble1.04
Le Mans1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grenoble Grenoble
WWDLW
36 GF / 40 GA
Le Mans Le Mans
WLDWL
51 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1
20
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
15
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grenoble Grenoble 34 matches
Le Mans Le Mans 36 matches
Grenoble Statistic Le Mans
8 Wins 16
15 Draws 15
11 Losses 5
36 Goals For 51
40 Goals Against 36
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1
20 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 8
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.09
10.56 Total Shots 10.74
3.75 Corners 5.4
44.8% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Le Mans's more proactive style and Grenoble's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Le Mans. Le Mans carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 57 points while Grenoble sit 13 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Le Mans look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Grenoble expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Le Mans in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Le Mans having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Grenoble Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Grenoble have collected 32 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Diaby (8 goals), J. Benet (6 goals), N. Elphege (4 goals), with creative support from N. Elphege (3 assists), G. Paquiez (3 assists), J. Benet (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Le Mans Analysis

Le Mans come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 57 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 15 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, with a 45:29 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Gueye (10 goals), A. Rabillard (9 goals), E. Colas (4 goals), with creative support from A. Rabillard (4 assists), Lucas Calodat (4 assists), D. Gueye (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Grenoble won 0 times, Le Mans won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Grenoble's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Grenoble 4-4-1-1 / Le Mans 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Grenoble wins 0, draws 2, Le Mans wins 3
Stats
Grenoble Grenoble
Le Mans Le Mans
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 21
3 Offsides 3
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
286 Total passes 403
198 Passes accurate 303
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Grenoble
Formation
Le Mans
M. Diop
M. Diop
G. Paquiez
G. Paquiez
L. Mouyokolo
L. Mouyokolo
C. Vidal
C. Vidal
M. Xantippe
M. Xantippe
J. Benet
J. Benet
L. Bernadou
L. Bernadou
E. Maurin
E. Maurin
B. Mouazan
B. Mouazan
Y. Diaby
Y. Diaby
U. Bonnet
U. Bonnet
N. Kocik
N. Kocik
N. Boisse
N. Boisse
S. Yohou
S. Yohou
H. Voyer
H. Voyer
L. Bretelle
L. Bretelle
L. Buades
L. Buades
A. Bourabaa
A. Bourabaa
E. Quarshie
E. Quarshie
L. Calodat
L. Calodat
E. Colas
E. Colas
A. Rabillard
🎯
A. Rabillard
Grenoble 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Diop
G
29
G. Paquiez
D
24
L. Mouyokolo
D
5
C. Vidal
D
27
M. Xantippe
D
8
J. Benet
⚽ 35'
M
6
L. Bernadou
🟨 51'
M
20
E. Maurin
↓ 64'
M
10
B. Mouazan
↓ 74'
M
7
Y. Diaby
↓ 81'
M
12
U. Bonnet
↓ 73' 🟨 58'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Pattier
G
2
M. Djitte
↑ 73' 🟨 87'
F
17
S. Delos
D
19
N. Zahui
↑ 81'
F
30
S. Diba
↑ 74'
M
22
A. L. N'Gatta
↑ 64'
D
4
S. Mambo
D
Le Mans 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
98
N. Kocik
G
31
N. Boisse
D
17
S. Yohou
D
5
H. Voyer
↓ 59' 🟨 27'
D
29
L. Bretelle
18
L. Buades
M
11
A. Bourabaa
M
6
E. Quarshie
↓ 59'
M
22
L. Calodat
M
28
E. Colas
⚽ 39' ↓ 70'
F
9
A. Rabillard
🎯 39' ↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
1
E. Hatfout
G
12
A. Ribelin
D
25
D. Gueye
↑ 58'
F
20
W. Harhouz
↑ 70'
F
3
I. Cossier
↑ 59'
D
8
A. Lauray
↑ 74'
D
24
M. Robin
↑ 59'
M
Last matches: Grenoble
09.05.26
Lig
Grenoble
Estac Troyes
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Grenoble
Dunkerque
1
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Grenoble
Montpellier
1
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Grenoble
Guingamp
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Grenoble
Laval
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Grenoble
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
Grenoble
Rodez
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
Grenoble
Boulogne
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Grenoble
Nancy
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Grenoble
Reims
0
0
D
06.02.26
Lig
Grenoble
Annecy
1
1
D
30.01.26
Lig
Grenoble
Amiens
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Grenoble
PAU
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lig
Grenoble
RED Star FC 93
0
3
L
03.01.26
Lig
Grenoble
Bastia
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cou
Grenoble
Nancy
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lig
Grenoble
Montpellier
1
1
D
05.12.25
Lig
Grenoble
Nancy
1
0
W
28.11.25
Cou
Grenoble
Annecy
2
1
W
Last matches: Le Mans
09.05.26
Lig
Le Mans
Bastia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Le Mans
Reims
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Boulogne
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
PAU
4
0
W
20.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Amiens
4
3
W
13.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Nancy
4
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Annecy
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
23.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Guingamp
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Montpellier
2
4
L
07.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Laval
1
1
D
03.02.26
Cou
Le Mans
Reims
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
26.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Dunkerque
1
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Rodez
1
1
D
11.01.26
Cou
Le Mans
Nancy
0
0
D
03.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
19.12.25
Cou
Le Mans
Périgny
2
1
W
12.12.25
Lig
Le Mans
Annecy
2
1
W
H2H: Grenoble vs Le Mans
25.04.26
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
Le Mans
Grenoble
1
0
L
10.04.20
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
0
0
D
08.11.19
H2H
Le Mans
Grenoble
0
0
D
12.02.11
H2H
Le Mans
Grenoble
1
0
L
30.08.10
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
0
1
L
Last matches: Grenoble
09.05.26
Lig
Grenoble
Estac Troyes
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
2
2
D
14.03.26
Lig
Grenoble
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
27.02.26
Lig
Grenoble
Boulogne
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Grenoble
Reims
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Grenoble
Amiens
2
1
W
17.01.26
Lig
Grenoble
RED Star FC 93
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cou
Grenoble
Nancy
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lig
Grenoble
Montpellier
1
1
D
05.12.25
Lig
Grenoble
Nancy
1
0
W
07.11.25
Lig
Grenoble
Rodez
2
1
W
28.10.25
Lig
Grenoble
Guingamp
0
0
D
17.10.25
Lig
Grenoble
PAU
1
1
D
26.09.25
Lig
Grenoble
Bastia
0
0
D
19.09.25
Lig
Grenoble
Annecy
1
3
L
13.09.25
Lig
Grenoble
Dunkerque
1
0
W
15.08.25
Lig
Grenoble
Laval
1
1
D
13.08.19
Cou
Grenoble
Rodez
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grenoble
25.04.26
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
1
1
D
10.04.20
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
0
0
D
30.08.10
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
0
1
L
Last matches: Le Mans
09.05.26
Lig
Le Mans
Bastia
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Boulogne
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Amiens
4
3
W
13.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Nancy
4
2
W
28.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Montpellier
2
4
L
03.02.26
Cou
Le Mans
Reims
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Rodez
1
1
D
19.12.25
Cou
Le Mans
Périgny
2
1
W
12.12.25
Lig
Le Mans
Annecy
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cou
Le Mans
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
2
2
D
21.11.25
Lig
Le Mans
PAU
2
1
W
15.11.25
Cou
Le Mans
Ivry
1
1
D
28.10.25
Lig
Le Mans
Laval
1
1
D
18.10.25
Lig
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
3
2
W
26.09.25
Lig
Le Mans
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
19.09.25
Lig
Le Mans
Dunkerque
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Le Mans
Reims
0
1
L
09.08.25
Lig
Le Mans
Guingamp
3
3
D
H2H away: Le Mans
25.04.26
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
1
1
D
10.04.20
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
0
0
D
30.08.10
H2H
Grenoble
Le Mans
0
1
W

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation